December 3, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delta Outlaw | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guick | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dearie | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cuckoo’s Saloon | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Professor Snape | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Archie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Brattata | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Deal | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Celebrity Glitter | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coffee Crush | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Grace | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Areyoucominghere | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burak | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Sting | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballston | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Soar From Shadows | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lezendary | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Pauline | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Wine | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Hope Diamond | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior of Light | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Catapult Jack | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cavallotto | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | St. Patrick Frost | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pence | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barefoot Angel | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Luzinski | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shipsandgoods | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pimm’s Cup | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lobbyist | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dublin Express | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Pom Freight | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Borsa Vento | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One of a Kind | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bartleby | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Henry Lee | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Son of Mine | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Grey | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adirondack Dream | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Runaway Posse | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yummy Bear | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lord of Love | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chateau de Vizille | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Mini Miles | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Attribute | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cinderela El Crome | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Pocket Change | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hardened | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Puparee | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pinchbeck | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Kitten | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out of Trouble | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 1.60 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Eighth Commandment | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Canoe | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Each Way | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz R Bella | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hardly Mate | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Connie A | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Achnaha (IRE) | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | In the Lee | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thirstforthecup | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Frost | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Al Hayyah (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smile Big | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Taralena | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Skyluck | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Glory to Kitten | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Not in Charge | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Patriot Drive | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fuel the Bern | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rappel | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hembree | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shamcat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King of Spades | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caribbean | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brianbakescookies | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nutzforboltz | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wingman | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.