December 2, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Cullasaja King |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Partner’s Power |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Roanie |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Colonnello |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Blazin Drama |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Naked Lies |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Honey Fields |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Luna d’Avril |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Star Studded |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1A |
7 |
Haveaniceweekend |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
I Am On My Way |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Wilma Lynn |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Exotic Appeal |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
6 |
Joe’s Gift |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
C W Road |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
I’m Sleeping In |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Gold Heist |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
River Miss |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Gables Girl |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lady Brevet |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Red Brook Road |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Miss Star Lo |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Distinctive Dyna |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Baby Cat |
4.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Chasing Twilight |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
J R Jellybean |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Hurry Up Alan |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Steve Came Thru |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Awake At T Wire |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Nick’s Posse |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lure of the South |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Here Comes Gary |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Edger Jones |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Bluegrass Demon |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Forest Friends |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Hodor |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Don Lupe |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Degrom |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Secret Secret |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
8 |
Grit’n’grind |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
4 |
Monaco |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
1A |
7 |
Open Bar |
5.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Tactical Plan |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
3 |
Retrograde |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Avast Matey |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1A |
5 |
Mr. Brix |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Bluegrass Express |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Ebo Strong |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Thirst for Victory |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Nicaradalic Rocks |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Play It Again |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Mama Jones |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Risque’s Diamond |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Firey Diamond |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Authoritative |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sweet Maggie Mae |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Checkbouncin Billy |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Aussie Mist |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Billygets Arrested |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Shinkansen |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pennsylvania Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Prince Lucky |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Tudox Expectations |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
American Talent |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Smooth B |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Jw’strickymischief |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Little Siete |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Viking Raider |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Johnny Crickets |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
I Am the Man |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Return of a Giant |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Right Ben |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Billy Lion Heart |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Don’tsellhimshort |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
My Cotton Jones |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Heroic Indeed |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
True to His Word |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Bestbandever |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
His Reins of Fire |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Love and Care |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Sergeant J W R |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.