December 1, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Tattered |
1.40 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Day of Reckoning |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Real Factor |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Zestful |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Nitro Fuel |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lonely Weekend |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Salt Air |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Ticticboomdynamite |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Youarestillthewon |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Arbutus |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lucky’s Ransom |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tiz Surprised |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Foolin Around |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
All Good Times |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Burbank Road |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Discreet Deceit |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Miss Mischievous |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sweethearted |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Gray Veil |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Dixie Rose |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Jumpin’ Nancy |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Candycoated Dame |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8A |
8 |
Flax Flower |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Winning Thread |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
1A |
1 |
Poco Del Sol |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
10B |
10 |
Mihrab |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Possessive |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3B |
3 |
Safwah |
2.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cardillia |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Stormologist |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sugar Shack |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Bay of Sighs |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Dr Bolt |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Concordia’s Way |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Glindas Good Karma |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Jolly’s Calling |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Portando |
2.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Miners Quest |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Entertainer |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Preachin’ George |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
In Jail |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Live Large |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Wolverette |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Smashing Serena |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
It’s a Doozy |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Keepupthemessage |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Wicked Sister |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Magnato Go |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
County Club |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Enterprise Value |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Awesome Alma |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Lil Habit of Mine |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Joyful Noise |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sarah’s Treasure |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Conjecture |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Society Hill |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
No Love Lost |
10.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Crude |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Saint Penny |
8.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Warleigh |
4.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
High Roller |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Furyofthenorsemen |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Mr. Benz |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Jeezum Jim |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Showalter |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Jrock |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Any Court Inastorm |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Willie B Mine |
8.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Apolodorodedamasco |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Schoolofhardrocks |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Expectations |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Mischievous Dan |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Blame Me |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Photogenic |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Now We Are Free |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Hard Drive |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Brother Slick Nick |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Pappa Portmore |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
A Max |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hooping |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Turbin |
6.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.