December 1, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hes Got Game | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap City Danzer | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neon Sky | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Why Joey Why | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tall Story | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Restless Rambler | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Five Small | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wine List | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Imposter | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | All Dat Brees | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pea Shooter Pro | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 3 | Fred’s Lucky Boy | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 6 | James and Company | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Drena’s Bullet | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Create Again | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Rigged | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Jersey Town Cat | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | A P Indy Is Gold | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Touchofchilipepper | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mun Up | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Takeoff | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alittlevodka | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Boundaries | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Mystique | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Humor | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Higher Factor | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Santa Americana | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hud | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Ice | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Park Hero | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taruca | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stonewall Boy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | West of Sabinal | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Garrison K | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | D’ Platinum | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iquique (FR) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Union Way | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Tell Brandi | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shirocca (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tootsie Pie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shy | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Archarityrobbyn | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Queen’s All Mine | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamofhonor | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Another Pinot | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Queen Olivia | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Lynn | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crimson Feline | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Minister of War | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Platinum Kitty | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Love This Dance | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lunarstrike | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Air Guitar Star | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lookout Mountain | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Game Baby | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spartanburg | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reckless Girl | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Flowersforlady | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anytime Baby | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ide B a Classic | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pioneer Tiger | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beauty’s Pioneer | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Threat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kayne’spotofgold | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grace’s Bandit | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hero’s Divide | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crider Cash | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.