December 1, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cayenne | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ty C | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ellerbe | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hustle N Jive | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slew’s Shot | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clip Joint | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Clown | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scott’s Song | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dixieland Flash | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Proud Mission | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doc’s Rocket | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 12 | Best of Tess | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Fonda Carlos | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Five Butterflies | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Live in the Moment | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Pray You Catch Me | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mac’s Honey | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Big Top Dollar | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hannah Bell | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Missbudlitetime | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | General Tone | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freddieslilwildcat | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lord Colliery | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Strollin Spree | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss Your Bride | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hermano T K | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Binding | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stella’s Honor | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Rifle Man | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Correa | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monsieur Brown | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Society | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Risky Forest | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rippin Ride | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome J T | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Areed | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ganges | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kate’s Dancer | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bitsy’s Half | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Tumult | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collin’s Mystery | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Ricky | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keystones Strike | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ribbon Box | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Anita Bonita | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laila’s Jewel | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love Ice | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Valentine | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shes a Texan | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shiplap | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redtotherescue | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Conspicuous Woman | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cheer Monkey | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bee Bee’s Bullet | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Poker Fever Gal | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Mylie Idel | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gray Ransom | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | E Lee | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mick | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Runaway Ide | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Burning It Up | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shunned | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Cajun Daddy | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Error Code | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Destinator | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Off On Holiday | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zacksgotthis | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sandana Heat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Channelmagic | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Love | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mickchievous | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Uncle Bird | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Little Mario | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Afoolandhismoney | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Rocky Tough | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strahan | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Valen Forever | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Red Wined Up | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Walker’s Way | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | At Your Word | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Star Ranger | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Tickatee Tickatay | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No Guts No Glory | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Etbauer’s Ide | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Red Cat | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gentlemens Half | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Cat Bullet | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Valley of the Hide | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Successful Story | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forum Form | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gasolina | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bayou Banjo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Fireball | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zactly | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be the Light | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | R. V.’s Express | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Red Nick Carl | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Promised Youhuff | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Classic Emmett | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger Bill | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oklahoma Lizzie | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Terms | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poppa Stoppa | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.