December 1, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mutaraamy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Archival | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Scholar | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Driven West | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | O Captainmycaptain | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Missile | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Buzz | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Appealing Henry | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Uncle Sigh | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Orino | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Changewilldoyagood | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Down One to Go | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Power | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Blue Pigeon | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bullheaded Boy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glowing Ember | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Prophet’s Cat | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | With Exultation | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rooftop View | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Terry O Geri | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get Game | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Prophet | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cody’s Notes | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Caretaker | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Viradia | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Dancingwithpaynter | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Anne’s Song | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Lady of Miracles | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Split Time | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Daisy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Expense | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sardonyx | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Annie | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Union Patriot | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Giant Zinger | 1.80 | 10.3 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Seeking the Blue | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Tizengaginglysmart | 2.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ailish | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Trinni Ninja | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | My Luciana Rose | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elenathena | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Jump Ruler | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dream Fever | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Paranoia | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She’s Da Nuts | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lillard Hall | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Toni Rox | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glow Goddess | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Harkness | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Sophia Is an Angel | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Avery Maeve | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Tiz the Light | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Goldwood | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rosie P | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Liberale (FR) | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ladies Day | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Nisha | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Sophia | 5.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Rae Anna | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baronet | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | China Rider | 4.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bigkat and Camille | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly By | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Charmer | 20.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blewitt | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Battle of Saratoga | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catch a Cab | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zonic | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Okeamo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Valiant Man | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ferrad’s Party | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frozen Angel | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Westwood | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Via Egnatia | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Flash Trading | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Halloween Horror | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forest Blue | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Battle of Evermore | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Buff | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Main Road | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Encryption Key | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Empire Line | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crossways | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Gio d’Oro | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Presentao | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flash Drive | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Curlin’s Legacy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Hot Rocks | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anything Pazible | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Noble Behavior | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aqua Bel Sar | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.