November 30, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Pray Hard |
1.20 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Vodka Texted You |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
It’s Just Bob |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Proudtobesicilian |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Hot Perfection |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Uptown Street |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Well Measured |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Chief of Staff |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Los Borrachos |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Logan’s Moon |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Best Two Minutes |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
New Karma |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Luke’s On Fire |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Time for Cioppino |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Big Bad Gary |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Catability |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Lipster |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Papa Caballero |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Autismonefortyfive |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Heat Things Up |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Retts Glory |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Chiquilin |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Go Ghetto |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Gotta Get Lucky |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
My Golden One |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Picture Tube |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Midnight Harbor |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Cammy’s Music |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Pick One |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Proud of Our Kids |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Bargaining |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Our Nation |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cat From Iraq |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Dramatic Angel |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Shining Hope |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Carulli |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Wow Its Hot |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Julia’s Summer |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Paint Me Lucky |
0.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Alternate Rhythm |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Jonny Be Bueno |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Vision |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Shanghai Billy |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Kanthaka |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Goodwillambassador |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Salsa King |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Soltero |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Gem of a Guy |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Optic |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Grand Air |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Irish and Lucky |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sallyana |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Smil’n From Above |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Kuuipo |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
I’m No Patsy |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Cheese |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Blooming Hannah |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Torre Italiana |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sassy Rose |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Forthe Lovof Patty |
4.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Harrovian |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Do Some Magic |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lucky Patrick |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Bow and Arrow |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Summer Buddha |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Alpha Uno |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Big Bad Batman |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Mr. Araiza |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
I Crushed It |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.