November 30, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Heisayankee | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Higher Wager | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz Red | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jake the Band Man | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rockin Rusty Rue | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whathadhappenwuz | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Promise Me Sleep | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Sniper | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kiss the Princess | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Back Page Star | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Maryblueeyes | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Queenofthepalace (NZ) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harbor Jedi | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Summer | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Onemorefastdance | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Helen Wheels | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clevius | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Delores | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Till Two | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Charzee Baby | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sabe Marcelete | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half Way Up | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Lavoyageuse Time | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | May Break Sixty | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Smiley Briley | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Sashimi Blaster | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Brees | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hopette | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Temple Shadow | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Reine des Animaux | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Royal Alexandra | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kiss That Dude | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Holiday Song | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Another Pinot | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Tap City Baby | 8.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Meetmeforasmoke | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D J Soul Sista | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Off Cycle | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kingston Terrace | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alivia’s Lion | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gratzie | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City Seduction | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Dinah | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Italian Charm | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ransack | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In the Chamber | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Woodmans Luck | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Tickle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ghurair | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broken Key | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alpha Bravo | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tap That Word | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Floroplus | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hold Me Black | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zipp On By | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wynn Time | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Berger | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Value | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Ninety One Assault | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | General Basil Duke | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zendelphian | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In the Navy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ole Skip Rope | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skyclassic Way | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Concert | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gunther | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dancin in the Rain | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noisey Boy | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fire Lake | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Farmerville | 6.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Social Misfit | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | True Flat | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Undesided | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Untethered Soul | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Runningdowndreams | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laine’s Song | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Sharp Henny | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Foxy Miss | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bing | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stackoleena | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Argumentally Elle | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Easy Geaux | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.