Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 30, 2017

November 30, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Daddy D T 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Caniform 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 My Friend 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Driven by Thunder 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Buddy Anthony 2.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Honorable Jonas 15.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
3 3 Southern Union 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Throw the Deuce 2.50 1.3 3-1
14 14 Iron Johnny 4.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
16 16 Gio d’Oro 0.80 5 9-1 Scr
5 5 Lem Me Tel Ya 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Forward Motion 5.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Wicked Huntsman 50.00 7 13-1
15 15 Sicilia Sal 12.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
13 13 Paganini 50.00 8.7 16-1 Scr
3 3 Steelersfanforlife 10.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Pequeno Grande 8.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Clams Casino 8.00 10 19-1
12 12 Watch Your Tale 15.00 10 19-1
1 1 Good Old Boy 6.00 10.3 20-1
8 8 Blessed Honour 50.00 14 26-1
10 10 English Channical 12.00 14.3 27-1
4 4 Just Bustin 20.00 14.3 27-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Tommy T 2.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Switzerland 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 5 Fooch 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Stan the Man 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Teak 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Via Castagna 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Seethisquick 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 City Traveler 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Sandy Strikes 8.00 3 6-1 Scr
5 5 Benny Big Boy 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Bunyaan 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Spring Emperor 2.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Auburn Avenue 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Gun for Hire 5.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Cotton Town 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Might Be 1.20 1.7 3-1
7 7 Proud Lily 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Frost Wise 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Moondance 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Cool as You Like 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Unbridledadventure 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Peaches and Spice 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Collective Effort 3.50 1.3 3-1
10 10 Witch Doctor 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Power of Attorney 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Wicked Trick 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Battle Zone 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Factor This 12.00 7 13-1
11 11 Bannon 3.50 8.3 16-1 Scr
3 3 The Presidency 6.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Let’s Go Mick 8.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Mickey T 30.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Capo Dei Capi 20.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 So Noted 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Global Positioning 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Foreset 3.00 3 6-1
9 9 Marriedtothemusic 3.50 4 8-1 Scr
2 2 Fratello Del Nord 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sol the Freud 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Cause for Surprise 5.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Bear Clause 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Saratoga Heater 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 3 Carolina Shag 5.00 2.7 5-1
6A 4 Lamontagne 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Holiday Disguise 1.80 3.7 7-1 Scr
1A 1 Divine Miss Grey 3.50 3.7 7-1 Scr
7 5 Jc’s Shooting Star 3.00 5 9-1
4 2 True Charm 8.00 5 9-1
3 1 Truth in the Lies 2.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Annie Rocks 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Herecomesyourman 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Distorted Admiral 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 First Degree Burn 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Harlan’s Hunch 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Pawn It Back 30.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Panama Papers 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Cookie Crisp 3.00 6 11-1
6 6 Champagne Papi 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Fleet Admiral 15.00 8.7 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.