November 26, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Color Me Pretty |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Topper Sixteen |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Timuquana Place |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Tiz de Lovely |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sinny Sin Sin |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Valina |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Shop Around Sue |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Blue Beret |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Just Like Jill |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
8 |
Spiced Commander |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
I Hope You Dance |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Dancing Waves (IRE) |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Shezaprado |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1A |
10 |
Golden Treasury |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Trust in Diane |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Toodaloo to You |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Fee Fi Fo Fo |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
My Sugar Cat |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Red Hot Cherry |
10.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Native Wahoo |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Boomtiderock |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
May B |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mitchnjohnny |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
I’m Formidable |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ty Diesel |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Chief Envoy |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Classic Salsa |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Wildcat Friendship |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bluegrass Sight |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Champagne Tony |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Methuselah |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mansoor |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Disinclined |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Afleet Spring |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
K L S Forty Three |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Party Marty |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
French Command |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Oscarific |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Last Flash |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Sun and Sand |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Good Intent |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Internal Storm |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Forevamo |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Enchantera |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Seventh Sense (TUR) |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Will Call |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Wonder Run |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Dupree |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Remedy |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Last Play |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Durga Devi (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Kat Can |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
La Flor |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Daddy Issues |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Peace Treaty Pat |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Salty Scatt |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Call Me Sidney |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Too Many Affairs |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Karula |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Katalust |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Golden Domer |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Shakti |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Archusexy |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Empire Strikes |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Night Parade |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Top Figure |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mine Yours an Ours |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Roar of the Lion |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Dattts Our Guy |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Itsthebourbontalkn |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Box Knife |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bentley’s Show |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
King of All Media |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Wathnan |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mas Mischief |
4.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Schiller Sound |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
El Mozo |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Gator Tough |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
First to Score |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Bad and Tough |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Tengey |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Moment of Grace |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Custom for Corales |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sweet Madalyna |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Rose’s Asset |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Be Nice Rose |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Salute My Lady |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Bull Headed Woman |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Open Interest |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Elle Les Yu |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.