November 26, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Bigluck E | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nominal Dollars | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jet Black | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arbitrator | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inventor’s Gate | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Try Flying | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lyrical Miracle | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | News Anchor | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Work of Art | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfectexpectation | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Guy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magnetron | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Vincent | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Now a Factor | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fox Strike | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Honor Mission | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Presentao | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Conforto | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Save the Sangria | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Move | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sim Card | 30.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Horn Ranger | 30.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Archival | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Disruptor | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brancato | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Schott | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Micozzi | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Hot Salsa | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smidge | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Dublin Express | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Cerro (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harlan Punch | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Pete’s Play Call | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Favorable Outcome | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Always a Suspect | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Square Shooter | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Full of Joy | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Violet Blue | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Palinodie (FR) | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Church Social | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Aja Brown | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Empressof the Nile | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Shaker | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lethal Legacy | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smile Big | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | If You Say So | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Double Cast | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mr. President | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | National Honor | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Flatexcel | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Eyck | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Hokulea | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Powerstroke | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shamrock Kid | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stormy Justin | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Look Up | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Carmine’s Honor | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Imaginar | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Pure Quality | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | This Cat Can Fly | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sir Frost | 50.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Claude’salleycat | 50.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Notebook S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stoney Bennett | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | What a Catch | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inalienable Rights | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morning Breez | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | We Should Talk | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Analyze the Odds | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Pete | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Foam | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Autumn Days S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Always Thinking | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Victoria (FR) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five Hearts | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First of Spring (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kelsocait | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo’ne Davis | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Key | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Abbreviate | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Conquest Sarahstar | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eloweasel | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ultra Brat | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rumble Doll | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Carry Your Heels | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nile Princess | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Say Cin Cin | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Rain in Spain | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cha Cha Heels | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Talkn Til Midnight | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Weekend Hottie | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Wish Upon | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Votre Coeur | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Silly Numbers | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emiliana’s Hope | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quanique | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Christmas Sky | 1.60 | 11.7 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | That Warrior Girl | 30.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.