November 25, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Skipping Light | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belleofthebayou | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shy Ruston | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Bird | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Call | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reese’s Glory | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thats Roger Song | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | On My Toes | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Girl | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Vortex | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Sky Flower | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Two Wonders | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vagabond Princess | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frozen Hannah | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savannah Belle | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Our Rapidash | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uneven Steven | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Idol McArtneyvalue | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phil Up Da Bank | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Enough Said | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s All Mine | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vicks First Pick | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unk’s Red Man | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Chip Leader | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Big Changes | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | He’ll Pay | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saham | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Paternal Pride | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Etruscan | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cooptado (ARG) | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Jewel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Costa Sugar | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dollar Dancer | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Rail | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bettyblue | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Dreamsicle | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Afterimage | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Changeforathousand | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marquee Moment | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saffron Spirit | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coco Honey | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pretty Lady | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skipped | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starving Artist | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Taylor’s Wildcat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luna | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Cause | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Berningbrightly | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lynah Rink | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | La Flor | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Daddy Issues | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Salty Scatt | 12.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Peace Treaty Pat | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Call Me Sidney | 30.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Judge N Ruler | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Advent | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancehall Jack | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warned | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Choice | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dapper Jack | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Darylslittleengine | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Half Primed | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Belgian | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Bird’s Eye View | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Speedmeister | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Stride | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jess I Am | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blushing Dreamer | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan Strong (ARG) | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Dontblamerocket | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Kit Check | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Grit | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Flash Harry | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Parade | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Secret Speed | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Easy | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blues Tour | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mitole | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simsbury | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drena’s Star | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby’s Wicked One | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strong Current | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dialect | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hotnthirsty | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bevolution | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Delta Eighty Eight | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dude Greeley | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chewing Candy | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ride | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cotton Up | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amber’s Friend | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Date | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rail’s Genuine Boy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doug’s Bug | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.