Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 25, 2017

November 25, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Drover Crazy 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 No Hiding Place 8.00 2.9 5-1 Scr
4 4 Power Nap 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Big Zip 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Bar None 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Risk Management 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Made of Steel 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Bear Clause 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Nolinski 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Diamond Setter 8.00 2.9 5-1
14 14 Merger of Banks 6.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
5 5 Bunyan’s Axe 15.00 5.7 11-1
16 16 Panama Ed 5.00 5.7 11-1 Scr
15 15 Three Goals 4.00 8.6 16-1 Scr
9 9 Beyond Honor 12.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 O Shea Can U See 2.50 8.7 16-1
4 4 Debauchery 30.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Lewyville 20.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Lucky Enuff 20.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Cantakeitanymore 6.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Vicar’s Legend 20.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Freudian Analyst 50.00 11.6 22-1
10 10 Platinum Nugget 5.00 12.7 24-1
13 13 Buss the Bell 50.00 14.7 28-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Im the Captain Now 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 4 Desperado 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Captain Hardship 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Culture Carrier 2.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Unforeseeable 4.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
4 3 Electro 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Cumulative 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Promethean 20.00 6 11-1
3 2 Last Shani 12.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Forever Together S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 My Impression 1.80 1.4 3-1
3 3 Elysea’s World (IRE) 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Not Taken 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Penjade (FR) 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sweet Sandy 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Bishop’s Pond 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Winter 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Gentrification 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Racing Raven 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Orbed 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Fixed Point 30.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Sargeant Drive 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Septimius Severus 10.00 4.4 8-1
11A 11 Line of Departure 2.00 4.4 8-1
6A 6 Blinded Vision 2.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Pay the Price 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Thunder’s Honor 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Freeze the Account 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Boule 1.20 2.7 5-1
4 4 Just Got Out 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Road to Perfection 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Remarqued 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Spring for More 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Stay Fond 4.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Why Not Be Sexy 30.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Big Mara 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Go Noni Go 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Pauseforthecause 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 9 Life Time Citizen 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Blue Atlas 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 Matty’s Magnum 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Night Time Lady 2.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Oh Zap 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 6 Wealth Effect 5.00 6.9 13-1
9 8 Drama Run 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Saratoga Treasure 15.00 8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 12 Cerro (IRE) 8.00 3.6 7-1 Scr
5 4 Conquest Panthera 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Dowse’s Beach 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Rainbow Heir 10.00 6 11-1
11 10 Bucchero 3.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Snowday (FR) 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 2 White Flag 3.50 7.3 14-1
9 8 Summation Time 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Ready for Rye 8.00 7.6 14-1 Scr
8 7 Blind Ambition 8.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 Summer Revolution 2.00 9.1 17-1 Scr
7 6 Dubini 30.00 9.4 18-1
6 5 Spring to the Sky 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Discovery S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Senior Investment 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Spieth 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Bonus Points 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Control Group 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Can You Diggit 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 True Timber 3.50 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Baseline 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Strike Midnight 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Djulpan 12.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 California Swing 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Lone Trader 10.00 6.1 12-1
13 13 Cuckoo’s Saloon 50.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
6 6 Tiz a Chance 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Son of Oahu 10.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Cheyenne Bull 3.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Archie 20.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Unexplained 12.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Nile Prince 15.00 10.1 19-1
14 14 Radial Flyer 30.00 10.1 19-1 Scr
3 3 Acoustic 12.00 10.6 20-1
15 15 The Orphan Miracle 8.00 11.9 22-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.