Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 24, 2017

November 24, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Jericho 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 All Day Trip 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 True Power 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Russell Cave 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Stolen Candy 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Southern Reserve 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Nizzi 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Burando 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Uncle Mo Money 3.00 1 2-1
2 1 Tabaddol 3.50 2 4-1
7 6 Cork Arm 5.00 3 6-1
1A 9 Kid Pichongo 6.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
5 4 Hubert Junior 6.00 6 11-1
6 5 Friend to Me 12.00 6 11-1
1 3 Mr. Nine Five Four 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Out of the Trappe 5.00 7 13-1 Scr
3 2 Pummy 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Hard to Be Good 3.00 1.3 2-1 Scr
8 6 Path of David 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Divine Holiday 12.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
3 3 Jax Heritage 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Czarmo 8.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
2 2 Kid Creole 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 5 Candy Carlos 4.50 6.5 12-1
1 1 Collateral Kitten 4.00 7 13-1
4 4 Menewa 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Couragous Chris 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Hula Pie 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Seven Squared 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Kayne’spotofgold 12.00 4 8-1 Scr
1 1 Our Emerald Forest (IRE) 6.00 5 9-1
8 7 Glory Kingdom 3.50 5.8 11-1
9 8 Tyler’s Wildcat 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 4 My Flit N Flot 5.00 7 13-1
7 6 Social Prize 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Paddy O’Lionel 5.00 1.5 3-1
8 7 Impressive Student 4.50 2 4-1
3 2 Knockit Off 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Saved At Sea 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Fist Full 15.00 6 11-1 Scr
7 6 Tip Tap Tapizar 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Harbor Pilot 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Who Datawaki 6.00 8 15-1
6 5 Tee Brown 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Maddy’s Pro 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Krafty Boy 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Hideaway Hero 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Beau Rouge 30.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lucky Andy 6.00 5 9-1
7 6 Mardi Gras Mask 4.50 5.3 10-1
8 7 Morning Mischief 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Zenucci 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 9 My Buddy Chuck 10.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Hero’s Divide 10.00 9.3 17-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Tiz Toffee 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 8 Drama Specialist 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Catching Diamonds 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Alfresco 4.50 3.5 7-1 Scr
1 1 Sterling Miss 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Mo Mo 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Garci 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Fashion Show 5.00 7.5 14-1
10 9 N. D. Free 30.00 8.5 16-1
7 6 Drift Away 8.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 10 Hallie Belle 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 C Islandsurprise 3.50 2.8 5-1 Scr
8 8 Polar Vortex 10.00 4 8-1 Scr
9 8 Jus Kevin 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Shezadoll 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Conquest Bad Uncle 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Lola’s the One 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Dagny 10.00 8 15-1
10 9 Bee Boppin Baby 15.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Rascofrade 10.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Holiday Music 8.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 Altered Mind 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 E. T. Lane 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Light Her Up 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Amore’s Prayer 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Lady Fitzgerald 8.00 4.8 9-1
14 14 Dance Till Two 2.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
4 4 Pinky Promise 5.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Toga Dance 10.00 6.3 12-1
16 16 Candy Assay 4.50 7.8 15-1 Scr
3 3 Commanding Action 10.00 8.3 16-1
15 15 Enfestar 30.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
13 13 Bayou Lady 6.00 11.3 21-1 Scr
2 2 Carlena 30.00 11.8 22-1
5 5 Rahy’s Breeze 30.00 13 25-1
7 7 French Roast 12.00 13.3 25-1
1 1 Half a Jag 12.00 14.3 27-1
12 12 Jopssal Dream 30.00 15.8 30-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.