November 24, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Posse Dreamin |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Brutus Hughes |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Show Bound |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Medal of Courage |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Steppin’ Outonher |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Galaxy Builder |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Top Cat Boogie |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Senor Grits |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Ginger Tee |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Jeni Lynn’s Pet |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Miss Guretta |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Rina Good |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Salute Lillian |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Big Risque |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Wrap It Up |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Greeley’s Doll |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Go Ante |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Boogie What |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bayou Queen |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Jewels of Sorce |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Kiss of the Wolf |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Saint Dansant |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
I Believe in Us |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Wonwonwon |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Charlie’s Image |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Arroyo Blanco |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
R. C. Owens |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
M J All Day |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Too Much Gone |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Secret Hero |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Shaded |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Night Spree |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Run Bayou |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Camp Sawyer |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Charlie’s Affair |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Halos Prayer |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
M B Puck |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Coach Avery |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Gettin Even |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Back Stage Boy |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Big Gig |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Whatdatpay Ray |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Combat Command |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Captain’s Song |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Big Hearted Factor |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lethal Move |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Tapster |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Stout’cannon |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
A Song for Arch |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
My Captain |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Theclassprayer |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Tick Tock Tizzy |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jack Be Quick |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Gotta Go First |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Amberjack Rey |
3.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
My New Guiter |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tiz Commander |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Linnie Laurine |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Taking Tips |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Cats Beauty |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Kool Aid Girl |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Blake the Great |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Eddie’s Deal |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ide Stang You |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Jove Jove Dive |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Thegoodwitch |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Deborah |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Ruston Vow |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Silver Spun |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Reflector |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Zarb’s Gift |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
One Survivor |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mocito Rojo |
1.60 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Flit N Time |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Arkansas Martini |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Half a Million |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Galaxy Thirtysix |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Hey Hey Miss Sue |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Causation |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lovedatbaby |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ease On West |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lilbitofjam |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Miss Demeanor |
5.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Kapenta |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
On Cycle |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Low Places |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Passing Simon |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Im a Rap Star |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Adieu Gerald |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tough Thomas |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
My Friend Tag |
2.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Fast Time Streaker |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kira’s King |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Empty Pages |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.