November 23, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Peej | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Conscious Decision | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Resilient Rick | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Consultation | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Generous Kitten | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Heat Flash | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Day Six | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | R. Great Adventure | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Social Misfit | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lougarou | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Private Prowl | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Hitter | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 5 | Miss You Jo | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Iron Grip | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dickie Do Wrong | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Custom Ridge | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Pal Kay | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Thief | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | D’money Honey | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Onefor Thegripper | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cypress Cat | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Greeley’s Kreem | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heavenly Gem | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Deed | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bowknot Billy | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gone Lucky | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kenzies Flair | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apollo’s Prince | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whistling Wind | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Countach | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Tale of Beaucette | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | First Cast | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Bluegrass Bronco | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 10 | Five Small | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Punch Express | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cooking Up a Storm | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | One Eyed Candyride | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Danny T | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Freakonthelead | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zarby’s Derby Day | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Shamrock Edge | 3.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bold Legion | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | New Orleans Spice | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ide Biduadeau | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Penny Coin Toss | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Icon | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Nola Fashion | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lady Loretta | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vanishing Image | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hot Yankee | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elektracutioner | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Moronette | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Highway Song | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bammmeister | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | It Is Time | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Non Regrette | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zero Gravity | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Time Flies By | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Killeen | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shared Value | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Art of the Dream | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sanimo | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Messiah | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Missive | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nonikas Thunder | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Actress On Board | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Royalty | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Devine | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Zee Ro Drop | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saver Street | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adonis Creed | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Esposito | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highly Prized (GB) | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Edge of Reality | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Six Schillings | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crescent Drive | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lu Rae’s Lucky Sky | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Corvette | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Thanksgiving H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chublicious | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mesoma | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Deputy | 50.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Blue Wings | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wyeth | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | The Truth Or Else | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Yockey’s Warrior | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Kiss the Princess | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 8 | Workerbee | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yooou Den | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Havinfunyet | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mil Mil | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | St. Louis City | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stately Defence | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forgotten | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vow Me Over | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sage’s Epiphany | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Go Go Goose | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flashy Shoes | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cinco Cinco Diez | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.