November 23, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Causeforcommotion |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Scandal |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Bombilate |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Wishful Winking |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Shazara |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
You’re A Goat (GB) |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Hacktivism |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
November Tale (IRE) |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Antonina (PER) |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Condi |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Line Drive |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Krissys Manicure |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Silversonic |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
My Rose of Savanna |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sauce On Side |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Pure Sugar |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Troublewithatee |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Feldini |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Kencumin (FR) |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Caribou Club |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
A Red Tie Day |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Twentytwentyvision |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Gio’s Calling |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Holiday Stone |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Quick Finish |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Dream On Brother |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Thankful Every Day |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Black Storm |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Insubordination |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sea’s Journey |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Catfish Hunter |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Scientifically |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Longden (GB) |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
He’s Stylish |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Shivermetimbers |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Point Guard |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
End of Spirits |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Peace |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Orbit Rain |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Danny O |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Majestic Eagle |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Red Carpet H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Earring |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Victress |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Do the Dance |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
How Unusual |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Birdie Gold |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
La Manta Gris |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Lottie |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Evo Campo (IRE) |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dynamic Mizzes K |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Laseen (IRE) |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Responsibleforlove (IRE) |
3.50 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Galileo’s Song (IRE) |
0.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Domestic Vintage |
30.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kiss Me Now (BRZ) |
20.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Royal Bar |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Treasure Hunter |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Neighborhood Bully |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Royal Trump |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Warrior’s Lullaby |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Bob’s All In |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Midnight Run |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Psycho Dar |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Not Yet |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Prieta |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Lori’s Attitude |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Achira |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Morning Dance |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Delectable |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Deccan Queen |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Halo Ahead |
4.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Lovely Raquel |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Night Bloom |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Chalky (IRE) |
4.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Red Shelby |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Queen of Troy |
20.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Blossom Trail Miss |
8.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Golden Kitten |
12.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.