Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 23, 2017

November 23, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Golden Muscade 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Pavini (FR) 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Interrogation 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Rose Garden 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Blank Slate 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Windjammer (GER) 6.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Ormolu Lu 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Kusama 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Play Big 8.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
1A 1 Tug of War 0.80 3.3 6-1
8 6 Chosen One Elijah 30.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Motown Sound 10.00 4 8-1
3A 3 West Hills Giant 0.80 4.3 8-1
4 4 Taoiseach 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 7 Abdaar 5.00 6.3 12-1
5A 5 Are We Not Men 0.80 7.5 14-1
7 7 Divine Oath 12.00 8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Incubator 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Westerdale 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Marzo 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Road to Meath 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Gravitating 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Talon 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Looking Ready 3.00 1.5 3-1 Scr
11 6 New York Hero 0.80 1.8 3-1
8 8 Barbarossa 1.60 2.8 5-1 Scr
2 1 Seven Lilies 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 5 Irish Valor 30.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Rockin Jo 10.00 6 11-1 Scr
6 3 Jaye Jaye 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Alien Invasion 10.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
4 2 I Love Jaxson 15.00 9 17-1
7 4 Gotham’s Storm 6.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Stormy Highway 30.00 10 19-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Baratti 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Fielding Gold 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Combat Controller 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 In Equality 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Snake Oil Charlie 30.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Rossie Val 6.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
7 6 Gotham News 4.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Sir Maurice 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Vicki’s Dancer 8.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
5 5 Driven by Speed 3.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
7 1 Itsinthestars 12.00 4.5 9-1
12 3 Andesine 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 First Appeal 3.50 5.5 10-1 Scr
13 4 Shimmering Moon 2.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Paz the Bourbon 12.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
4 4 Munchkin Money 4.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
2 2 Eloweasel 8.00 9 17-1 Scr
14 5 Special Dividend 5.00 10.5 20-1
8 2 Moondance Joy 30.00 11.3 21-1
11 11 Timely Tradition 6.00 11.5 22-1 Scr
1 1 True Charm 20.00 11.8 22-1 Scr
15 6 Court Dancer 3.50 12 23-1
6 6 Barrier to Entry 6.00 12.5 24-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Winter Memories S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Well Humored 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 Taperge 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Heavenly Score 15.00 4 8-1
13 13 Divine Miss Grey 2.50 4.8 9-1 Scr
2 2 Lucky Long 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Dancing Breeze (IRE) 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Rymska (FR) 3.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 I’m Betty G 8.00 8 15-1 Scr
11 11 Bonita Bianca 3.50 8.3 16-1 Scr
6 6 Last Promise Kept 20.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Party Boat 3.50 9.3 17-1
1 1 Thais (FR) 4.00 10.3 19-1
14 14 Land Mine 8.00 12.3 23-1 Scr
9 9 Lift Up 20.00 13 25-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fall Highweight H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Threefiveindia 5.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Seymourdini 2.50 2.8 5-1 Scr
2 2 Hey Jabber Jaw 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Green Gratto 8.00 4 8-1
8 7 Ready for Rye 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Schivarelli 20.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
7 6 Life in Shambles 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Stallwalkin’ Dude 2.00 7 13-1
1 1 Great Stuff 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7A 6 Acorn Street 2.00 1.3 2-1
8A 7 Soldiers Pride 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Momenta Kat 6.00 3 6-1
13 13 Toni Rox 3.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
12 11 She’s Da Nuts 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Kickin Kimberly 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Lill Mave 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Meads Bay 12.00 8 15-1
11 10 Bird Key 6.00 8.8 17-1
9 8 Gator Girl 3.00 9 17-1
3 3 Withaflourish 15.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Sweet Breeze 30.00 12 23-1 Scr
6 5 Reyana Reya Delite 30.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.