Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 22, 2017

November 22, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Tusk 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Souperfast 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tiznoble 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Lewis Vale 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Poshsky 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Rockford 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Claudia’s Vision 30.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Derval 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Verona Blue 20.00 3 6-1 Scr
1 1 Ouro Verde 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 5 Seam 1.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Catania Rose 20.00 5 9-1
7 6 Matinee Babe 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Friend of Liberty 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Royal Inheritance 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Team of Teams 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Littlemissbusiness 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Discreet Senorita 3.50 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 No Deal 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Honored Promise 8.00 2 4-1 Scr
5 4 Nevisian Spirit 5.00 3.3 6-1
9 10 Glossy 4.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
3 2 Tap Tap Taparoo 2.50 5.5 10-1
1 3 Elevenses 10.00 5.5 10-1
1A 5 Great Reward 10.00 6 11-1 Scr
2 1 Gibson Girl 12.00 8 15-1
8 9 Thea Afroditi 20.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
7 6 Magnato Go 20.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Scarf It Down 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Mister Henry Lee 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 King Koa 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Shadow Rider 2.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Nutzforboltz 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 English Soul 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Pauseforthecause 2.50 2 4-1 Scr
3 2 Purely Lucky 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Saratoga Treasure 5.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
2 1 One Last Cast 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 6 Miss Jen 10.00 6 11-1
7 5 Rapid Route 3.50 7 13-1
4 3 Birthday Gift 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Polar City 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Alpha Team 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Street Review 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 One More Round 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Author 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Shidoshi 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Mr. Sultana 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Altar Boy 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Not in Charge 2.50 2.8 5-1 Scr
6 4 Iggy Loco 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Charming Indy 4.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
5 5 Bow Tie Affair 20.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
7 7 Focus Group 3.50 5.3 10-1 Scr
4 3 Shahroze (IRE) 2.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Astounding 5.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Saratoga Colonel 3.50 1.5 3-1
11 11 Rumbles of Thunder 3.50 2 4-1 Scr
8 7 Givetheman a Cigar 6.00 3.8 7-1
13 8 Quai Voltaire 5.00 5 9-1
9 9 Grand Valour 3.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
1 1 Mast Step 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Luzinski 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Run for Boston 5.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Frost Proof 6.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Victory’s Cash 15.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
12 12 Dublin Express 50.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
5 5 Minus Two 10.00 11 21-1
7 7 Fleet Admiral 12.00 12 23-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.