November 20, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Forman the Foreman |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Abundant Faith |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
13 |
11 |
Radial Flyer |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
14 |
12 |
Brians a Smarty |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Motown Rhythm |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
All Spun Up |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ice On the Severn |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Summer Run |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Legal Precedent |
3.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Jegos Fire |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Howyaformoney |
3.50 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Gotham Boy |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Totaled the Benz |
3.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Starry Messenger |
4.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Party Regent |
20.00 |
14.8 |
28-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Wiggle Room |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Hey Niki |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hip Hop |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Chauncey |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Number the Stars |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Last True Love |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hunka Bunka Brown |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Shecor |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Flight Crew |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Shan Dian Kia |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Starling’s Law |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Sing Praises |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Plenty Elusive |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Where’s Dominic |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Against the Win |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
The Great Provider |
4.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Grand Old Game |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Fearthefalcon |
8.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Black Jet |
4.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
No Knock Raid |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Legend Keeper |
30.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Bibbo |
8.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Scrapple |
30.00 |
15.3 |
29-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Desert Princess |
30.00 |
15.8 |
30-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Squashville Road |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Apollo Eleven |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Deal Driven |
1.20 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Fantasize |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Horseshoe Harbour |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Some Promises |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Soul Prince |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Can’tmakethisup |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Augie’s Coming |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Saturday’s Rein |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
14 |
11 |
Grand Lassie |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Marie Joelle |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
When It Reigns |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
My Chesa Charm |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
More Than Treasure |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Spicy Dancer |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Petticoatsnpistols |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Ladyofthehierarchy |
4.50 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Wilko Patriot |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Holiday Prayer |
8.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Perfect Party Girl |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Banner Wave |
4.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Enchanted Evening |
15.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Starlet Lady |
30.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Out of Juice |
30.00 |
14.3 |
27-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
2 |
Perfect Cover |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1A |
5 |
Fifty Eight O G |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
10 |
11 |
Slick Man |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Union Blues |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Mack the Knife |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Howboutthemcowboys |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sebray |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
One Proud Wildcat |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mischievous Dan |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Captain Alex |
5.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
7 |
Alabandus |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Beyond Forever |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Benchmark Babe |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Cross Roads |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Anissa |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sheet Lightning |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
So Innocent |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sarah’s Treasure |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Claravoyant |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Head Games |
3.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Proudly |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Blase |
10.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Total Temper |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Liberty Lane |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Ghostly Games |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Max Crown |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sue Me |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tale of Mist |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Grecian Prince |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Awesome Bill |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Winning Road |
2.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Tiz Showbiz |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Nicaradalic Rocks |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Wildcat Rising |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fortunate Queen |
0.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Nancy R |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
13 |
10 |
Annapolis Class |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Little Miss Jojo |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Star in Dubai |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Rosetta Red |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Quickasaflash |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Ms. Picadilly |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Li’l Tipsie |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Glory Unbound |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Merry Maid |
30.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Feisty Missy |
30.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.