November 19, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Super Patriot | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Claw | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | X S Gold | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo See Cal | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Funny Bean | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky At the Bay | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star of Kobol | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tisn’t She Lucky | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Handful of Stripes | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Orejas | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Informality | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Special Story | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fire to the Wire | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Blue | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clickjab | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hotsy Dotsy | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alpha Pegasus | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ciao Bella Rosa | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Linda | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eye of the River | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dressed in Prada | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Let Me Flatter You | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hope She Will | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Empress of Lov | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quinnie | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mama’s Kid | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winsinfashion | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Summer | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | We Will Re Joyce | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Streak of Luck | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Phyllis | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stylitude | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Zapana’s Game | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Two Thirty Five | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Black Tie ‘n Tails | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Have Some Pride | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Devils Informer | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dad’s a Gambler | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yo La Tengo | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mt. Leinster | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Julia’s Summer | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Instant Reflex | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marley’s Freedom | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Avicii | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merirosvo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Conquest Flatterme | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heart of the Nile | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Discatsonthesquare | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wonderful Lie | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lake Time | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meanie Irenie | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Goseecal | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pistol Packin Rose | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dominating Woman | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tweeting | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zuzanna | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Resky Business | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salten Sapity | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Moccasin | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Opening | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Little Bit Me | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cary Grant S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gold Rush Dancer | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy Bouncer | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solid Wager | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smokey Image | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Edwards Going Left | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Issue | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Green With Eddie | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | California Diamond | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tribal Storm | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love My Bud | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Gosofar | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Papa | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tatar | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hollywood Square | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Schooley | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dial Me In | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catfish Hunter | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Matlock | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lord Admiral | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reckless Gravity | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Duke of Fallbrook | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.