Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 19, 2017

November 19, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Stun 10.00 2.6 5-1
7A 7 Love Your Buttons 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Fooch 1.80 3.1 6-1
5 5 Disruptor 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Seethisquick 6.00 4.1 8-1
6A 6 Shidoshi 2.50 5 9-1
4 4 Smidge 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Conquest Bigluck E 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Nominal Dollars 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Jet Black 20.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Arbitrator 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Inventor’s Gate 30.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Try Flying 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Lyrical Miracle 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Gold for the King 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Loki’s Vengeance 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Sudden Surprise 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Nobody Move 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Becker’s Galaxy 3.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Cloud Control 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Fast Boat 1.60 1.4 3-1
7 7 Tom’s Music 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Power of Attorney 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 The Presidency 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Orbed 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Fixed Point 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Blinded Vision 2.50 5.9 11-1
10 10 Ride to the Sunset 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Pay the Price 4.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Thunder’s Honor 8.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Abiding Star 6.00 2.4 5-1
7A 7 Raagheb 1.80 2.9 5-1
2 2 Wabel 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Mills 2.50 3.9 7-1
1A 1 For Greater Glory 1.80 4 8-1
6 6 Shalako 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dearie 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12B 12 Flash Trading 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Krampus 3.00 4.3 8-1
13B 13 Halloween Horror 2.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Rapt 5.00 5.7 11-1
2A 2 Bobby G 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Island Therapy 50.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Business Expense 3.50 7 13-1
1 1 Pioneer Spirit 10.00 7.4 14-1
11A 11 Homewood Field 4.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 The J Y 10.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 New York Song 15.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Markitoff 12.00 11 21-1
9 9 Pocket Change 8.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8A 8 Driven by Speed 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Church Social 2.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Just Got Out 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Nawlins Kitty 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Road to Perfection 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Remarqued 4.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Bonita Springs 15.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Bigkat and Camille 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Spring for More 8.00 8.9 17-1
5A 5 Stay Fond 3.50 9 17-1
1 1 War Canoe 5.00 9 17-1
4 4 Nutcracker Suite (IRE) 12.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7B 7 Cerro (IRE) 12.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Skyler’s Scramjet 3.50 3.6 7-1
4A 4 Harlan Punch 3.00 3.9 7-1
6B 6 Pete’s Play Call 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Favorable Outcome 1.20 4.9 9-1
8 8 Always a Suspect 8.00 5 9-1
5A 5 Very Very Stella 3.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Square Shooter 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Im the Captain Now 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Desperado 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Captain Hardship 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Electro 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Unforeseeable 5.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Culture Carrier 1.40 5.7 11-1
5 5 Cumulative 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Promethean 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Summer Causeway 50.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Glad Moon (GER) 12.00 9.1 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.