November 18, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 6 |
6 |
Elevated |
1.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
| 7 |
7 |
Smart and Tough |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
| 8 |
8 |
Rocket Man Richie |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
| 5 |
5 |
Tradfest |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Siena Indian |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Prodigious |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Full of Charge |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Divine Oath |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 2 |
1 |
Dynasir |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Josh’s Hero |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
| 5 |
3 |
Irish Rocket |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
| 7 |
5 |
Kensington Kid |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
| 3 |
2 |
Debonaire Man |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
So Sensible |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
| 8 |
6 |
Simply Tizway |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
| 6 |
4 |
Pintoresco |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 9 |
7 |
Bella El Milagro |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
| 11 |
9 |
Hurricane Josie |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
| 10 |
8 |
Island Getaway |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
| 7 |
5 |
All Ours |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
| 5 |
4 |
Email |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
| 4 |
4 |
Anita Lass |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
| 3 |
3 |
Rory P. |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
| 12 |
12 |
Offleeluckylady |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Scr |
| 6 |
4 |
Italian Grace |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Discreet Cathy |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
| 8 |
6 |
Wee Bonnie Lass |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Sweet Thing |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 5 |
5 |
Sweet Madea |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
| 6 |
7 |
Appealingmagic |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
| 7 |
8 |
Mettemarlamelva |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Miss Lucky |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Backyard Boogie |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Mirkamurka |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
| 8 |
9 |
Rosemarie |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Black Queen |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
| 1A |
6 |
Sprawling |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 7 |
6 |
Eastern Front |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
| 8 |
8 |
Magna Fortune |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
| 5 |
4 |
Mbrace Grace |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Dream of Peace |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
| 2 |
2 |
Snowfly |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
| 10 |
7 |
Curly’s Pal |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Monor Grades |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
| 4 |
3 |
Bubba Chub |
5.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
| 9 |
7 |
Pearsonality Too |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
| 6 |
5 |
Sambook |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 8 |
7 |
Worth His Salt |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Ben of the Bridge |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
| 1A |
5 |
El Dulzura |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
| 5 |
4 |
Monaco |
1.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Court Note |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Sight Line |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
| 7 |
6 |
Ferdinandthemouse |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Shur Fox |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
| 6 |
5 |
Ataway Max |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 3 |
3 |
Blue Shine |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Untouchable U |
1.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
| 8 |
8 |
Lil Miss Hotshot |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
| 5 |
5 |
Katy Drama |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
| 6 |
6 |
Hell of Afire |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Wildcat Belle |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Letthemooseloose |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
| 7 |
7 |
Heatherly |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 4 |
4 |
Graves Island |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Quick Learner |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
| 8 |
8 |
Moe Trouble |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Pop Keenan |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
| 6 |
6 |
Yeah Rocky |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
| 5 |
5 |
Late Breaking News |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Poised for Action |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
| 7 |
7 |
True Boldness |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 6 |
6 |
Our Georgio |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Michazl John |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Cool Fuse |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
| 11 |
11 |
Sunshine Love |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
| 9 |
9 |
Skipper Dancer |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
| 8 |
8 |
Eden Got Even |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
| 10 |
10 |
Saratoga Tommy |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
| 12 |
12 |
Fairly Bold |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
| 5 |
5 |
City Count |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Insider |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Shimerville |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
| 7 |
7 |
Art Bijou (ARG) |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
