Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 18, 2017

November 18, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Jonquil 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Lethal Legacy 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Tisbury 2.50 4 8-1
8 7 Say Cin Cin 30.00 5 9-1
7 6 Kat O Mine 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Out of Trouble 3.00 5 9-1
4 4 Hardly Mate 6.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Hollywood Cat 10.00 6.4 12-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Lady by Choice 1.40 1.4 3-1
4 3 La Contessa 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Gangbusters 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Northernstreetgal 8.00 4.1 8-1 Scr
3 2 Timeless Beauty 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Beyondelle 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Gia Michael 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Schivarelli 1.60 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tale of E Dubai 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Bolita Boyz 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 A Fleet Attitude 6.00 3.9 7-1
4A 4 Blaze’n Prospector 3.50 4.3 8-1 Scr
1A 1 Top Brass 3.50 5.3 10-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Scheme 3.00 2.7 5-1
9A 9 Driven by Speed 8.00 4.6 9-1 Scr
5 5 Wake Island 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Speighgal 3.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Scattered Thoughts (IRE) 20.00 6.1 12-1
11A 10 Thirstforthecup 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Folk Magic 10.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Trilliant (IRE) 12.00 7.1 14-1
6 6 Gold Lace 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Miko 10.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Spring for More 12.00 9.6 18-1 Scr
3 3 Magic Joan 6.00 10 19-1
13A 13 Stay Fond 8.00 10.4 20-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 D’yer Mak’er 4.00 2.4 5-1
10 7 Lucky Town 15.00 3.3 6-1
11 8 Cuckoo’s Saloon 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 3 Discretionary Marq 3.50 6.1 12-1
12 9 Canarsie Kid 6.00 7 13-1
14 14 Benevolence 2.00 7 13-1 Scr
13 13 Ethan Hunt 3.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
3 2 Outrageous Bet 8.00 7.6 14-1
9 6 Mission Command 3.00 7.6 14-1
6 4 Psychic Energy 5.00 8.1 15-1
7 5 Peculiar Sensation 10.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Tiffanys Freud 15.00 11.1 21-1 Scr
2 2 Source Control 12.00 11.3 21-1 Scr
8 8 Chosen One Elijah 50.00 11.4 22-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
16 16 Alkhaatam 1.20 3.1 6-1 Scr
15 15 Westerdale 2.00 4.1 8-1 Scr
7 7 Factor This 8.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Infield Is In 15.00 5.7 11-1 Scr
4 4 Victor Lounge (IRE) 4.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 American Lincoln 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Causeur 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Power Boss 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Mathematician 5.00 8 15-1
11 11 Wicked Trick 10.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Desert Stone (IRE) 15.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Unleveraged 3.50 10.3 19-1
10 10 Curlin’s New Moon 20.00 11.3 21-1
12 12 Time On Target 15.00 12.9 24-1
5 5 Big Agenda 6.00 13.3 25-1
14 14 Bridey’s Kitten 15.00 14.1 27-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Scarly Charly 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sir Bond 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Greeley’s Farewell 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Gambler’s Ghost 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Morning Buzz 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Will Did It 3.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 War Eagle’s Return 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Bar None 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Major League 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Artie Schiller S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Delta Prince 2.50 2.3 4-1 Scr
3 3 Hollywood Hideaway 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Fire Away 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Monster Bea 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 A Lot 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Blacktype (FR) 3.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Night Prowler 5.00 7 13-1
7 7 Marengo Road 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Wolf Rock 20.00 7.1 14-1
12 12 Kantune 4.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
8 8 Converge 30.00 11.1 21-1
11 10 Tizzarunner 15.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Reata’s Reward 5.00 1.6 3-1
12 12 Miss Hot Stones 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Ramblin’ Ma’am 12.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Queenofeverything 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Forever Dreams 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Velvet Trinni 20.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Cryinthemoonlight 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 It’s My Catiecat 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Turn and Bern 8.00 7.4 14-1
14A 14 Gentle Annie 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Kenzie 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Hug the Rail 20.00 9.9 19-1
16A 16 Frederica 20.00 10.6 20-1 Scr
4 4 Scorpion Bowl 12.00 11.4 22-1
10 10 Sundance Joy 20.00 11.4 22-1
15 15 Barrel of Destiny 30.00 11.7 22-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.