November 17, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Danica | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bellkis | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Stalled | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | My Hat | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shrew Meaning | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Weiwaltz | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dorothyfromdublin | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thirsty Bandit | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Perfectness | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Speedygalee | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Running Tide | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Simple Challenge | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bold Cat | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gia | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Dirt Road Princess | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Lear Avia | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cent Comm | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bungalow | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapizaragain | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Dynaformer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Pinnacle | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cute as a Button | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Seven | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Officer Buns | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hissy Fit | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Little Lies | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zippity Gal | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin’anddrinkin | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aussie Prayer | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Intractable | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Lady From Cheyenne | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Taller Sister | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Hidden Pearl | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Stella | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blue Hen Madness | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 9 | Crystal Pier | 3.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Neetee Rides Again | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Zipline | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moral High Ground | 12.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nico Bree N Teej | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Wu | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Free to Trump | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Federal Walk | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Still Having Fun | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Align the Numbers | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Step | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swingstage | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charismatic Blue | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Clouded Judgement | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Engagement | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highland Bowl | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dirtyfoot | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | My Chinumado | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Factor | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Cape | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jag | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cosmic Halo | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Bass Rock | 3.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Mojo’s Louie Cat | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paul the Waiter | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Pappillon | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 10 | Sadler Bay | 15.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ivegotthatmagicnme | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Feel Proud | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yorky | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby the Boss | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Alarming | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Captain Alex | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Mischievous Dan | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 10 | Giles Fair | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Exclusive Lake | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Ice Tea | 1.60 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Justcallme K L | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Society | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bob’s My Uncle | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | T Sizzle | 6.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bushmill Giant | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mott | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beltway Bob | 12.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Godlovesasinner | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ghostwalker | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Trading Cash | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bilko | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | You Tell Me | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cobh | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | New Moon | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Warrior Ridge | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Scotty | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Hussar | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shortlist | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | Daddy’s Cozy | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hickory Hill | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Furyofthenorsemen | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bust Another | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Final Prospect | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Perfect Cross | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ghost Bay | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Warrioroftheroses | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unbridled Daddy | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sparty | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Cowboy | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | D. K. Two Step | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Island King | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zesty Zar | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Much Maligned | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Torch of Truth | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eagle Terrace | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Warmin’ Up | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.