November 17, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lady Melania | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Angel d’Oro | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anything But Amie | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cudda Binn a Tizzy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Secret Rose | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Becca’s Whisper | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Empress B | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Out Late | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Zarba’s Charm | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carmen’s Picture | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Castle Zip | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timebobanna | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Salty Martini | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I Hope | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lefthoofrightleft | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Fern Doll | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coast of La | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Mistake | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sarah’s Prayer | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | A Toast to Gertie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Baby B Gone | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Wekati | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blowin Your Mind | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zionica | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hiclass Production | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goodbee | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Labelhermypal | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Angel | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayouland Star | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jobay | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stick | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bear’s Big Boy | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Northwoods Cat | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kate’s Dancer | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Masster Chief Ron | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River Pride | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Cat’s Best Bet | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Ricky | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sinister Spinner | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runningunninrascal | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ted’s Folly | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ringneckdove | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Yonadixie | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shedrow Cocktails | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cody Cody | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Run Like Elle | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Inspire Courage | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | First Bull Run | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stanton C | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Ronnie’s On | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rare Rose Royce | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sky Stanza | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fancy This | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | War Anthem | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cheers to Berti | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Smitty | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tumult | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Tickatee Tickatay | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Im a Cowboy Too | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heath’s Idee | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vieja Luna | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hyper Piper | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ski Tune | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Legged Model | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Panoe | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tujuacagofast | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Our Millie | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tenpins Tempo | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Believeinsomething | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bermuda Star | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Gold | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J J Queen | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bionic Butterfly | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yes Gorgeous | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just a Bandit | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emily’s Lollipop | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Born to D’ Wild | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’screative | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Bombshell | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girls Life | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Testing One Two | 1.80 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Putsumdirtonit | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Peace Treaty Pat | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Man of Bethel | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | D’wildsummersfun | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Bookout | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Destinator | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Leroidesdanse | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Minister Henny | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sandana Heat | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | G’s Big Red | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Bird | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brandi Bo Dandy | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Afoolandhismoney | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | On Time | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red Again | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Zactly | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be the Light | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R. V.’s Express | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz the Blues | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Promised Youhuff | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Dude | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Terms | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sholtz | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brylee’s Deelite | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Crown the Barber | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.