November 17, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kristi’s Copilot | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky J Lane | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Scotty | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Charming | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malko (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cafe Flavor | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sheswildnfree | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veronica Bay | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m No Patsy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glamsquad | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forbidden Command | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Optimistic Outcome | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | A New Trend | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | It’s The Ice (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mercer Island | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Big (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Opera House (IRE) | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bow and Arrow | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He Could | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Alex | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Right to the Point | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hailey Rachele | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get Yourself Home | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Del Mar Diva | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Topaz Time | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gem of a Marina | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Demigoddess | 0.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Midnight Swinger | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aura Rose | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Ninja | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tammy’s Window | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Her Big Moment | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party Hostess | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Tink’s Twirl | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Candy Swirls | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Proud ‘n’ Ready | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Looking At Thelake | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quinn Murphy | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tizway That Way | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | On the Right | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Davka | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Canadian Warrior | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Touchdown U S C | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Factor | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Chewy | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Powerful Thirst | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daylight Charger | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Beau Square | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Candy Ruler | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Batiquitos | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mikenjane | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold At Night | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Irish and Lucky | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Desert Madam | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Thorn | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Trap Queen | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 10 | Clifton Beach | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Taste’s Legend | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Californium | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King of Leon (ARG) | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Beloved Holiday | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Beyond Wonderful | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Close to Midnight | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | June and Johnny | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 11 | Super Storm | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Walker | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Eighty and Sunny | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Machete | 0.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Atticism | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celebrate Life | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.