November 16, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Panzer | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holy Beau | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Baron’s Rebellion | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gary | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiznberry | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clasifrontier | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zartan | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fireman Isaac Max | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Val’s Star | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Jackson T. | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yes Im Tricky | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Gg’s Gracefulgabby | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Dream | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gold Chrome | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gibes | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miracles Yankee | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Shatorah | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tunica Girl | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Etoile d’Allie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Little Lola | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Coop N Nugget | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Private Reality | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whooz the King | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crushem Tank | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Port | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie Hoss | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ty C | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slew’s Shot | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love That Brown | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clip Joint | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scott’s Song | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jewel House | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamonds and Oil | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Reina Isabel | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Back Stage Bonita | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Town Surprise | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candi’s Kitten | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Ruston | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ring for Maria | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Net’s All N | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Tsu Tsu | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Brickyard Baby | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Caroline’s Over It | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Cowgirl | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maggie Mia | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Conspicuous Woman | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inalyze | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crescent Lace | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Bear Too | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suckerforagrey | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Skip Away | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mylie Idel | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wolfel Bear | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mack’s Champ | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arctic Tribe | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chat Rat | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | That’s the Truth | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Christopher Cat | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pioneer’s Era | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sharp Clark | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Mickey | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smoothforthemoney | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bucky Boy | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Summer’s Due | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Give Me the Money | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Betty the Babe | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Franca’s Honor | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Striscetta | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blushing Reality | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vitt Bitt | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sawyers Gray Girl | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Call It Luck | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Intimidators Girl | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Val’s Pal | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Remember Carlos | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Red Cat | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Etbauer’s Ide | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Cook Some Rice | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bee Jay Gee | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mimosa Morning | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’s a Super Jet | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pappas Reign | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Closing Way | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zapper Bill | 2.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shunned | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Kitten | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Gallop | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rooster J | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Halo Redding | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roux D Rocket | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Atdabarwithmerrill | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Love Alley | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Leger | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Muddy Bayou | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tim Pins | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Crude Operator | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | C C’s Baby Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flaming Diva | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Look At Corkie Fly | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Adieu My Baby | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rowdy N Pearls | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hay Viene Navidad | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vixen Heights | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Natona Lady | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | La Zota D’ Oros | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dramatic Act | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loppa | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Kaleigh’s Dream | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.