November 15, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fantastic Warrior | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bottle Let Me Down | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s an Honest Man | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clever Racer | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rak Em | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Personal Conflict | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Kidd James | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Investment | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star of Ruston | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drewmatic | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He Has a Touch | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tengey | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reckless Girl | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Selma T | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Painting the Sky | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salute My Lady | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toomuch | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Show’em the Heat | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ourgoldshalaylee | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spotsback | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eagle Rising | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hermano Pilon | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mane Mission | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pep Last Dream | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Will Burn Tails | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donttakeitpersonal | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Andy Man | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | First to Score | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Honest Spree | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brother Who | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mordecai Man | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Friends With Money | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gunther | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Pioneering Native | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Silver Planet | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Blue Forty Two | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | North Hullen | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Areed | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Hero’s Divide | 2.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Primary Patrick | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rockin’rouxs Best | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ringneckdove | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Late Appointment | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Day O | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tsunami Girl | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Labelhermyprayer | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purple Parrot | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Oak Swamp | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crowned Style | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Rallyonmarion | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Kitty | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Tami | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Glide Baby Glide | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bling It On Baby | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cause You Can | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strike Pleasure | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Farewell | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sibling War | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Bonne Margie | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Too Bad Chu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Pal Viv | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Class Misty | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Cherry Laurel | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nola’s Fireball | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Better in Boots | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Over | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiz a Party | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Spirit of Acadiana | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Salutetheprincess | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Theboyzgalaxy | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Remember Carlos | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ironclad | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heartland Hit | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley’s Wish | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Nublado Bling | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Outofthisgalaxy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | C U Tiger | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Galaxy Builder | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Kissing Buck | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top Cat Boogie | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alabama Slim | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chad Be Glad | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stratocruiser | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mumbles | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Victor | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rey Zarbyev | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Its Mr Slew to You | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Castlederg | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malagra Vision | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Shad | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Flit N Flot | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Cajun Bandit | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highroller Man | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pull the Trigger | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Late Again | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colt’s Secret | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Italian Candy | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Debriyn | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Sholtz | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Emmett | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Gabe | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Act Diablo | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ride the Breeze | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.