November 15, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Andesine | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Constance | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Elostorm | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Winner’s Dream | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ultimate Cause | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | War Canoe | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Hope’s Roar | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thrice | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Queen of Spades | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peaches and Spice | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Ice Palace | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sand City | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Murrell’s Belle | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anna Rae | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maddy’s Way | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sand Shark | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Three Eighty Eight | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Rullah | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loose | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ola Gatita | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Switzerland | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Mini Miles | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Boot Hill | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Factorial | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Charnley River (AUS) | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Repetitious | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dudes And Diamonds (GB) | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Teak | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Dial Josh | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Freeload | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Expressly | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamic War | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Foreign Affair | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vasilika | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rimanisempreforte | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fahan Mura | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hoponthebusgus | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spring for More | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Carry Your Heels | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Caroline | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cha Cha Heels | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emiliana’s Hope | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bluegrass Singer | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Helooksthepart | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Too Fast to Pass | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Market Sentiment | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Texas Two Step | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Promises | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Tiznoble | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cinderela El Crome | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Honor Up | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Odin’s Steed | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Dark Ops | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Danny California | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Audible | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Big Thicket | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Hot Rocks | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Violent Delights | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | The Sheik of Araby | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Valyrian | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Killybegs Captain | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Ready | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forge | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holding Aces | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Portfolio Manager | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Three to Thirteen | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shadow Rider | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | May Be a Diamond | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Going Strong | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fleet Irish | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peter’s Project | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Samadi Sky | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond the Green | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broken Engagement | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can You Diggit | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fast Mama | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Surprise | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Julia’s Pride | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Subic Bay | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Factoring | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ormolu Lu | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Special Risk | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goldmakesmesmile | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cleo | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kusama | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lemondrop Lollipop | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mama’s Red Hat | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Looking Good Carol (IRE) | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.