November 11, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Darcy Mae |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
11 |
4 |
Karma |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Skip the Talk |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Get Up She’s Gone |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Pebble Road |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Hard Headed Woman |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Goodnight Moon |
3.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Bellkis |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Perfectness |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Speedygalee |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
12 |
5 |
Holiday Prayer |
5.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Goldmakesmesmile |
4.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Jah Grace |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
9 |
3 |
Hey Mabel |
5.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Rosie McGuire |
20.00 |
14.5 |
27-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Geisha S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Rockin Jojo |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lucky in Malibu |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
My Magician |
0.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Miss Nosy |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Moon Virginia |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Value Added |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Wowwhatabrat |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
4 |
Monkey’s Medal |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Uncle Dave |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Matador |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
12A |
12 |
Captain Dixie |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
I. C. Lightning |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Damage Control |
5.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
16A |
16 |
An Imaginary Road |
3.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Respighi |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Springers Point |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Chilly Bay |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Put It Forward |
6.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
14 |
5 |
I’m Ready to Roll |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Dream Man |
8.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Senor Louie |
15.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Diana’s Vendetta |
8.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Ultimate Avary |
15.00 |
15 |
28-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Alpha Slew |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
8 |
5 |
Social Media |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Gimmeonemore |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Noble Prince |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
16 |
7 |
Ruth Less Blue |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Hurler |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
14 |
6 |
Classic Wildcat |
2.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Final Encore |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
7 |
4 |
Starship Thor |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Final Forum |
2.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
No Knock Raid |
4.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Racy (GB) |
2.50 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Ring Collector |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Divine Oath |
5.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Special Selection |
20.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Private Tutor |
20.00 |
15.3 |
29-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Smart Halo S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Take Charge Paula |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Jehozacat |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Gibby |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Caught Dream’n |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Pikachu Princess |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Pacific Gale |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
13 |
11 |
Almond Roca |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Rose to Fame |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Frigid Sister |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Last True Love |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Vertrazzo |
10.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tarawa |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Flowers Vale |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – City Of Laurel S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Honor the Fleet |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Prince of Hempt |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
No Dozing |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Indian Lover |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Winplaceorshowono |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
El Areeb |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Two Charley’s |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Tale of Silence |
3.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Sonic Mule |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Safely Kept S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Shimmering Aspen |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Toby Girl |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
You Know Too |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
14 |
11 |
Astrollinthepark |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Ms Locust Point |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Harkness |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Folk Magic |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Rose Tree |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
13 |
10 |
Your Love |
2.50 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bellavais |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Moonlit Song |
20.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Dawn the Destroyer |
6.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Just Be Kind |
15.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Analyze |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Berned |
12.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
She’s Stunning |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – James F. Lewis Iii S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Kowboy Karma |
1.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kitchen Fire |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Barry Lee |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Blame It On Honey |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
A Different Style |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Whereshetoldmetogo |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Richard W. Small S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
10 |
Fellowship |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Afleet Willy |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
All Out of Aces |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
No Distortion |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Watershed |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Discreet Lover |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Doctor Mounty |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Securitiz |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Fear the Cowboy |
6.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Page McKenney |
3.50 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Just Call Kenny |
6.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bodhisattva |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
4 |
Adios Annie |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
14 |
7 |
Radiant Element |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Isabel’s On It (GB) |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Clare’s Dowery |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Miss Mischievous |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Goldwood |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
12 |
5 |
Look Who’s Talking |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
13 |
6 |
Anna’s Bandit |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Belted |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
My Juliana |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Quality Time (IRE) |
2.50 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Thirst for Truth |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Irish Fix |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Sweet Yare N Dira |
5.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Veil Dance |
8.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Ms Eileen |
30.00 |
14.5 |
27-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Marvelous Martha |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Oh So Lovely |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Count On Chloe |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
Miss Craigie |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Janelle Dreams |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
15B |
15 |
Flying Phillip’s |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Nanny Rocks |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6B |
6 |
Purring Valentine |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Local Thriller |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Emme |
30.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Kitten’s Friend |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
14A |
14 |
Tiz Octavia |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
2A |
2 |
Courageous Bella |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Daray |
5.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ready Set Shop |
15.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.