November 11, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wildcat Springs | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ellashoo | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Dear Lord | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shoot’em Honey | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss That Dude | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’wild Muffin | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Sweet Sydni | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Rae Rae | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Smoothmoney | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Do Guess Again | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rex’s Last Tour | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scatdaddyscat | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Freakonthelead | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mighty Intimidator | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Wicked Proud | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Cat Bullet | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Con | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Cajun Daddy | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Red Wined Up | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Rosso | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alys Appointment | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Justice | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Primetime Tiz | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Book | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Moon | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fort Stevens | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southside Shorty | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aztec Delite | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adios a Todos | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walker the Wiz | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Valid Objection | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Gardner’s Song | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freeontechnicality | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toast to Michael | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Happy Fats | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Lanies Choice | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Kingpin | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Careless Whisper | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Williamette Valley | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tsunami Girl | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Lil Rebel | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Simigrande | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | All Fore Kicks | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Romance in Vegas | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Shine | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Third Strike | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quick Draw Ronnie | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Wesley’s Dream | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sister’s Image | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Underpressure | 1.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kapenta | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stump | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rumpole | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zendelphian | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ruston Vow | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U S Officer | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Salute the C | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hunker Down | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Town | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Flit N Time | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shamrock Star | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In Full Swing | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Hey Miss Sue | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crown and Seven | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Take It All | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Causation | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unreal Baby | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Lorretta | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Gal Layla | 3.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Ella | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Affair | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Five Star Nap | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tujuacagofast | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Another Pinot | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shea’s Lil Shug | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ramsanelli | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Farewell | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 0.60 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Rumba | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Proud Mission | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ginger Tee | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rulersshinyfuture | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jeni Lynn’s Pet | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Run Scottish Run | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Theboyzpic | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kiki Doo | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Beauty | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Princess Arwen | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | C’Time | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Big Risque | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Cajun | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Church of England | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Banjo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Beerjoint | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chasing a Saint | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | I Promised Youhuff | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Gum Creek | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rebel Gentleman | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Interest | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | To Field Landry | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Promise Me Sleep | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiger Bill | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Poppa Stoppa | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.