November 10, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Coach Avery | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daniel Road | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Towering Oak | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | From Now On | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zoltar | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honor My Speed | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strollin Spree | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai’s Song | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Red Slippers | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fonda Carlos | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Gal Sarah | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Along Came Macey | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winnie the Roo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poquito Britches | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shakeitifuluvme | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Brown Gravy | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Angelic Kriss | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Father of Storms | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gibby’s Spot | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Maline | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Guitarist | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Brandy Station | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smok’n Rita | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | My Madelyns On | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Bobbie Girl | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Louisiana Voodoo | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Twice Silver | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | On Cycle | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss Him Twice | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | North Light Ridge | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peerage | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thornofarose | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Passing Simon | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Like a Deputy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shinguard | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scrutiny | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Jazz Talk | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beau Gator | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Man of Bethel | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Stars R Out | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Players Gonna Play | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sports Book | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | At Your Word | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Customized | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drewstormin | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sharp Clark | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Ciao for Now | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On the Take | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gabanator | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Onesimus | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Rippin Ride | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Won Again | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Charming Afleet | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Guts No Glory | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Runaway Ide | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Burning It Up | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | First Adapter | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Successful Story | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Power and Grace | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Desert Harbor | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Spun | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Southern Argument | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Gentlemens Half | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Angie’s Bling | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | So Sorry Ruston | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mr. Graceful | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valley of the Hide | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Si Familia | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway King | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | General Basil Duke | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Theclassprayer | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brown’s Monkey | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tammany Parkway | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Confederate Yell | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jonas G. | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bandit for Time | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Primed | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Song N a Cat | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mile R Meaux | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Il Est Vite | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carmens Catcher | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | M J All Day | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Off On Holiday | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Hero | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Star | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whistling Ranger | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Night Spree | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie’s Affair | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Canadian Fireball | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Bubbassecondchance | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spring Rodeo | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reydell | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crenshaw | 1.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Debriyn | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Arnaud | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mac Be Sweet | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ellerbe | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Fast Talking Jones | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luck Dynasty | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jax’s Boy | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.