November 10, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tuscany Beauty | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetwater Gal | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Where’s the D | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Public House | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papercoversrock | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nazareth | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dragon Flower | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Ransomed | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Miss Napper Tandy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sonnet’s Joy | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ramona Lover | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Radio Chatter | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bona Fide Image | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Bright Star | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Shady Love | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Yalla | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Chila | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beer Tap | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kershaw | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Afleet Ascent | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Morning | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Big Hunk | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lombo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showstone | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Zombie | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | El Asesino | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Fracas | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Cute Knows Cute | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hold That Smile | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Mis Viola | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Boss Move | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sugaratsundown | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Innyminniemineymoe | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Moonlight Mystique | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Little Bit Lovely | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Del Mar Ann | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Jennyway U Want It | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Speak Up Sailor | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Madam | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Joyable | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kennedie Sky | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scatterling (IRE) | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Rosie My Rosie | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summertimemischief | 0.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Well Caught (IRE) | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Boom Boom | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gogoula | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Wonderfully | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Millie Joel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritualist | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sudden Light | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Juliet | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taylorealswift | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indignationtyme | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shook | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Gambler | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lets Light the Way | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Espionage | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winemenow | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speakers | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Glory | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Wakaya | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battleground State | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scathing | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Bless the Cause | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Halo Girl | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Justabean | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | La Chepis | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Venice | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empress Songbird | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Line Drive | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Tapitha Bonita | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Callie Mesa | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wicked Sunset | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Mariana’s Girl | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Gal | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Edie | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Spacerika | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.