November 10, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Two Shy | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Blessings | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Latrevo | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blushing Justine | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Money Purse | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lillard Hall | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paranoia | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Toni Rox | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Gia Michael | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Global Positioning | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Zealous | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bullheaded Boy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pegasus Red | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sol the Freud | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Heater | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lyrical Miracle | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Redhairdon’tcare | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Right On | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Graeme | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strategic Dreams | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wall of Compassion | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Salty Smile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Fiveinthemorning | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Forever Daisy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Gal | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Split Time | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Lady of Miracles | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Climb the Ladder | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chiclet’s Dream | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flatliner | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Union Patriot | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seeking the Blue | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sardonyx | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Giant Zinger | 3.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Luciana Rose | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reyana Reya Delite | 50.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Caribbean Girl | 20.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Phi Beta Express | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rectify | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gorgeous Charli | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foreset | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forest Blue | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spin Cycle | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orino | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Power | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Pigeon | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glowing Ember | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bold Illusion | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Prevails | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Taoiseach | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Chance | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | With Exultation | 4.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Snake Oil Charlie | 50.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Length | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Tanzania Road | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Food | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Pena | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Total Control | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sleigh Ride | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blind Pool | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9B | 9 | Cerro (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2A | 2 | Blackout (FR) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fear | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8B | 7 | Clever Royal | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Next Shares | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | End Play | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Stroll | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Spring to the Sky | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Schoolofhardrocks | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Shark | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Massena | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Grand Valour | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Rule Number One | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Morning Daddy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Port Arch | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Frost Proof | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Run for Boston | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kierland | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Man of Chrome | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heat Check | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wondermeister | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alexander David | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Reigner | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Victory’s Cash | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Space Key | 4.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Minus Two | 15.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.