November 9, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Primal Past |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Anita Bonita |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Lost Dove |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Redding Well |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Galliano |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Shes a Texan |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Red Tide |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Fine N On Time |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
No Se Tu |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Uknowiaintlying |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Bo Bo Bridge |
15.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Mylie Idel |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Bubba Ray’s Sun |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Martin de Tours |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Starook |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Big Joe |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lord Redding |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Campus Leader |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Jonny’s Emerald |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Lucame |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Osidy Cat |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Maline |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Monkah |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Goodrockingirl |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Musket’s Cup Cake |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Casino Beach |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mi Copa Rebosa |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Force Awakens |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Half Way Up |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Theyankeefuse |
3.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Gladys’ Frontier |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Scarlet’s Causeway |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Myjobismylife |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Dynaskra |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Amerocko |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Back in Business |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dream Seeker |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sivershow |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Go Poppa Go |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
A We Bit Flirty |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Keystones Strike |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ribbon Box |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Half of Tip Tap |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cachito |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
O’L Red |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
It’s a Sweet One |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
El Viento |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Saint Dansant |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Theboyzdelight |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Binding |
4.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bless All |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Band Boss |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Richter |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Chatainbegood |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Capote P. |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Aztec Delite |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Gotthemusicinme |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
V Double U |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Theboyzgrand Kis |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Oath of Office |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Wolf’s Song |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Gentleman’s Prize |
3.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Don’t Rush Me |
12.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Leger |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Sugar Heaven |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
D J Soul Sista |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Little Snip |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Best Bling |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Just Glossy |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Leave Em Counting |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Devine Teaching |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Royal Force |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Crush |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Risky Forest |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Thiscatsatalkin |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Here’s Bob |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Rulers Honour |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Grace’s Bandit |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Awesome J T |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Cat Sup |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Jo Allen’s Buddy |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
New Orleans Spice |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Laine’s Song |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
6 |
Oh Dear Lord |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Tiz the Time |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Tom and Ed’s Girl |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1A |
6 |
Pray You Catch Me |
1.80 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Mt. Rain |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Wild for Cathrine |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Suzie’s Dream |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Cajun Bandit |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Canadian Fireball |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Ride |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mr Equilizer |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Euroway |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cayenne |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Can’t Stop Kohen |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Big Yankee |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Major Ranchero |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Hard Earned |
4.50 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Have Heart Can Run |
10.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Huffs Untouchable |
4.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.