November 8, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Swift Lisa | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Selfie Sensation | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Velleity | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Madelyns On | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Belle | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Candy Assay | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizberry Wine | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Bridle | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Kiwi Magic | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie the Cat | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Scarlett Surprise | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cimarron Rose | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Swamp Production | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Burnt Orangedini | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Be Quick | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mamadancesinthesky | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Estrella | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Missie’s Wild Card | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Honest Scarlet | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Ms Advisor | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Hold | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | This One Is Bills | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palmettovowmenot | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizabitdistorted | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jake the Band Man | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pauley’s Star | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mob Posse | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risky Steps | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Salute the Street | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Temple Go | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Mischief | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run to Fame | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Henry | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Electric Kiss | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sunny Sister | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shez for You | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Cat Who Dat | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Alibrooke | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cinco Cinco Diez | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Moronette | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heaven’s Devil | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lil Becky | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Hicks Honey | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classy and Rich | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ide Be Doc Adams | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Montbrooks Miracle | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fist Full | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Mister | 1.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Youve Got a Friend | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Smitty | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catlab | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just too Smart | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Collin’s Mystery | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kateline’s Dreamer | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Castalia Bella | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | So Silly Lillie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Katniss | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Afleet On High | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queezee Proud | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Septennial | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little Lola | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Flashy Kitty | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | M B Prize | 2.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shesa Riskycascade | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Teez Sparkle | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Heavy On Themister | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B Brazin | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rowdy Richard | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Seduction | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lydgate | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masculino | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Copper Cajun | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Macandales | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Buddy Chuck | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | No Game for Sissys | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stage Show | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vastjesus | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whoajoey | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Alex’s Turn | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Bert | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Halfflatt | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boomer’s Boy | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Imindycatbirdseat | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jilotepec | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Fashioned | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Babalight | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sailorman | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Too Much Gone | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | No Plans | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Gueydan | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drewsizzle | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shaded | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Smile | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Preston’s Galaxy | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady El Prado | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Lady | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Ruby’s to Blame | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Par T | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two J’s | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Easy Geaux | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pay Me N Pennies | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Itsbouttime | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | This Aint Dallas | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Star of Ekati | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Majestic Moon | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.