November 4, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Wrightwood |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
Scr |
16 |
16 |
Here’s Johnny |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
12 |
9 |
Unusual Fleet |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Prime Time Man |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Cruise More |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Liberal Spin |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
He’s One Wild Dude |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Winter Springs (FR) |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Our Emerald Forest (IRE) |
4.50 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
13 |
10 |
An Imaginary Road |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
11 |
8 |
Asset Allocation |
5.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Photogenic |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Soup d’Coupe |
6.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Therestishistory |
12.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rediscover |
10.00 |
14.3 |
27-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Out of the Fire |
20.00 |
15.8 |
30-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Renaissance Rosie |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
She’s All Ready |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Miss Cobblestone |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tale for Ruby |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Campeona |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Daylight Ahead |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Irish Major |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Bungalow |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Slippery Slope |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Chocomount |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Recoil |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Big Platinum |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Wild Dynaformer |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pik Em |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Round Hill |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Yankee Tar |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Howyaformoney |
5.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
My Own Lane |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Western Exchange |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Cute as a Button |
12.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Madeyourpoint |
15.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Awesome Adrian |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Rarified Air |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Expectations |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
True Arch |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Irish Handcuffs |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Patti’s Pirate |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Port More |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
R Lucifer |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Miss Saffron |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Off My Stage |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Secret Escape |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
To Be Honest |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Rubys Fire |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Dendrobia |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ferdinanda |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Flax Flower |
2.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Baltimore Babe |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Meetmeonline |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Lady Blessings |
1.60 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Wolverette |
10.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
History Made |
2.50 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Friesing Waters |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Dorothy Vaughan |
15.00 |
14.3 |
27-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Hot Dixie Dame |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sing Dixie Charge |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Two Hundred Proof |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dance Or Stroll |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lillard Hall |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Fourscoreandseven |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Analyzeyurspending |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Misdriven |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Random Thoughts |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
12 |
10 |
Chirping |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
R Flashy One |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Whiskey Wu |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Real Factor |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Say the Word |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
My Brothersledge |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kalohi |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Maynooth |
6.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Taxable Goods |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Colonel Patsy |
10.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Lonely Weekend |
6.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Promontory |
3.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Hierarchy |
6.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Whirlin Curlin |
15.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Sadler Bay |
20.00 |
15.8 |
30-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Queen to Checkmate |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ephesians Six |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Prank Call |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Champagne Tequila |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Obvious Two |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Arbutus |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Drops and Buckets |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lucky’s Ransom |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
All Good Times |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Vittorioso |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
The Zip Zip Man |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Big Slick |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Martywiththeparty |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Censure |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Moonspell |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Lil Love Machine |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
He’s a Pussy Cat |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Correjon |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Stay Home |
1.80 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
13 |
10 |
Royal Crusader |
6.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Scrapple |
30.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Spoiled by God |
15.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Riley’s Choice |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Nawlins Kitty |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Goiaba |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
8 |
Star Crush |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Perennial |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
14 |
10 |
Plein Air |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Panzacola (IRE) |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Infuse |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Everything’s Copa |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Shifra Magician |
10.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Proud Maid Marian |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
13 |
9 |
Court of Love |
10.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Zenbennie |
10.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
What About Tonight |
5.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Crookit |
15.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Claravoyant |
15.00 |
15.3 |
29-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Carolina Ice |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Thalia’s Song |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Menorah Lora |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Rightupyouralley |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Red Hot Poker |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Hard Rockin Blues |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Toquette |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sea Gazer |
5.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Shecor |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.