Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 4, 2017

November 4, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Goldikova S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 12 Mrs McDougal 8.00 2.5 5-1
15 15 Kitten’s Roar 20.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
11 11 Aljazzi (GB) 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Hillhouse High 12.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 Corps de Ballet 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Majestic Heat 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Goldy Espony (FR) 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 On Leave 4.50 7 13-1
3 3 Malibu Stacy 30.00 7.8 15-1
14 14 Sassy Little Lila 12.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Madame Stripes (ARG) 8.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Laur Net 20.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Thundering Sky 8.00 11.5 22-1
5 5 Laseen (IRE) 30.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Golden State Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Bookies Luck 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Smokem 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Schulace 4.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
2 2 Night At the Opera 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lucky Pegasus 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Lucky Romano 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Campaigner 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Ministersdontparty 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Qatar Juvenile Turf Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 13 Mourinho 6.00 2 4-1 Scr
1 1 Fairyland 5.00 3.8 7-1
15 15 Factorofwon 15.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
3 3 Count Alexander 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 McErin 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Elizabeth Darcy (IRE) 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Out of The Flames (GB) 10.00 7 13-1
5 5 Sound And Silence (GB) 8.00 8.3 16-1
16 16 Good Guy Bad Guy 20.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
4 4 El Dulce 4.50 8.8 17-1
9 9 Declarationofpeace 12.00 9 17-1
10 10 March X Press 3.50 9.3 17-1
12 12 Majestic Dunhill 20.00 9.5 18-1
7 7 Corinthia Knight (IRE) 12.00 10 19-1
6 6 Treasuring (GB) 15.00 11 21-1
14 14 Burnside 20.00 11.5 22-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – 14 Hands Winery Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 11 Wonder Gadot 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Heavenly Love 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Moonshine Memories 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Blonde Bomber 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Princess Warrior 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Alluring Star 6.00 5.5 10-1
13 13 Separationofpowers 4.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Gio Game 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Piedi Bianchi 15.00 8 15-1
12 12 Caledonia Road 15.00 10 19-1
2 2 Tell Your Mama 30.00 10.8 20-1
10 10 Maya Malibu 20.00 11.8 22-1
6 6 Stainless 20.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Marsha (IRE) 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Richard’s Boy 10.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Pure Sensation 10.00 3.3 6-1
14 14 Paquita Coqueta (CHI) 20.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
13 13 Guns Loaded 20.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
9 9 Mongolian Saturday 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Holding Gold 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Lady Aurelia 2.50 7 13-1
10 10 Hogy 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Stormy Liberal 12.00 8 15-1
1 1 Disco Partner 4.50 8.3 16-1
11 11 Bucchero 12.00 9.8 18-1
8 8 Cotai Glory (GB) 20.00 12 23-1
5 5 Washington DC (IRE) 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Sprint

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 11 Unique Bella 1.80 1 2-1
13 13 Princess Karen 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Finley’sluckycharm 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Constellation 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Curlin’s Approval 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Finest City 12.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Proper Discretion 30.00 8 15-1
12 12 Skye Diamonds 5.00 8 15-1
5 5 Bar of Gold 30.00 8.5 16-1
14 14 Ami’s Mesa 20.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Carina Mia 12.00 10.3 19-1
10 10 Highway Star 15.00 10.3 19-1
2 2 Paulassilverlining 8.00 10.8 20-1
7 7 By the Moon 12.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Turf

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 12 Avenge 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Lady Eli 2.50 3.3 6-1
15 15 Kitten’s Roar 20.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
14 14 Rhododendron (IRE) 8.00 4 8-1
13 13 Goodyearforroses (IRE) 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Cambodia 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Zipessa 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Grand Jete (GB) 6.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Queen’s Trust (GB) 12.00 9 17-1
7 7 Dacita (CHI) 8.00 9 17-1
3 3 Birdie Gold 30.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 War Flag 12.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Nezwaah (GB) 20.00 10.3 19-1
16 16 Responsibleforlove (IRE) 20.00 11.5 22-1 Scr
2 2 Senga 20.00 12 23-1
5 5 Wuheida (GB) 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Twinspires Breeders’ Cup Sprint

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Imperial Hint 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Drefong 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Ransom the Moon 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Whitmore 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 American Pastime 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mind Your Biscuits 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Calculator 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Takaful 5.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Roy H 3.50 8 15-1
4 4 B Squared 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Mile

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Ribchester (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
13 13 Blackjackcat 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 World Approval 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Suedois (FR) 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Midnight Storm 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Heart to Heart 6.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Roly Poly 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Mr. Roary 30.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Ballagh Rocks 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Om 20.00 7 13-1
14 14 Karar (GB) 15.00 9 17-1
4 4 Lancaster Bomber 20.00 11 21-1
6 6 Zelzal (FR) 20.00 12 23-1
9 9 Home of The Brave (IRE) 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 11 Bolt d’Oro 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Solomini 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Free Drop Billy 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 U S Navy Flag 8.00 5 9-1
10 10 Golden Dragon 30.00 6 11-1
12 12 Hollywood Star 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Bahamian 30.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Good Magic 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Givemeaminit 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Firenze Fire 6.00 9 17-1
7 7 The Tabulator 20.00 9.3 17-1
9 9 Hazit 20.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Ulysses (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1 Scr
7 6 Itsinthepost (FR) 15.00 2.8 5-1
12 11 Beach Patrol 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Highland Reel (IRE) 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Bullards Alley 15.00 3.8 7-1
14 13 Oscar Performance 10.00 4 8-1
10 9 Fanciful Angel (IRE) 12.00 6 11-1
8 7 Bigger Picture 15.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Hunt (IRE) 15.00 7 13-1
13 12 Sadler’s Joy 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Decorated Knight (GB) 15.00 10 19-1
1 1 Talismanic (GB) 15.00 11 21-1
9 8 Seventh Heaven (IRE) 20.00 13 25-1
6 5 Cliffs of Moher (IRE) 20.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Classic

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 West Coast 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Arrogate 2.00 2 4-1
11 11 Collected 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Mubtaahij (IRE) 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Churchill (IRE) 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Pavel 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 War Story 30.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Gun Runner 1.80 7 13-1
9 9 Gunnevera 30.00 8 15-1
2 2 War Decree 30.00 8 15-1
3 3 Win the Space 30.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.