November 4, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Goldikova S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Mrs McDougal |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Kitten’s Roar |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Aljazzi (GB) |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Hillhouse High |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Corps de Ballet |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Majestic Heat |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Goldy Espony (FR) |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
On Leave |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Malibu Stacy |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Sassy Little Lila |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Madame Stripes (ARG) |
8.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Laur Net |
20.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Thundering Sky |
8.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Laseen (IRE) |
30.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Golden State Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Bookies Luck |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Smokem |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Schulace |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Night At the Opera |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lucky Pegasus |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lucky Romano |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Campaigner |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ministersdontparty |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Qatar Juvenile Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Mourinho |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Fairyland |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Factorofwon |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Count Alexander |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
McErin |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Elizabeth Darcy (IRE) |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Out of The Flames (GB) |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sound And Silence (GB) |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Good Guy Bad Guy |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
El Dulce |
4.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Declarationofpeace |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
March X Press |
3.50 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Majestic Dunhill |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Corinthia Knight (IRE) |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Treasuring (GB) |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Burnside |
20.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – 14 Hands Winery Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Wonder Gadot |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Heavenly Love |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Moonshine Memories |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Blonde Bomber |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Princess Warrior |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Alluring Star |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Separationofpowers |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Gio Game |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Piedi Bianchi |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Caledonia Road |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tell Your Mama |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Maya Malibu |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Stainless |
20.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Marsha (IRE) |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Richard’s Boy |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Pure Sensation |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Paquita Coqueta (CHI) |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Guns Loaded |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Mongolian Saturday |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Holding Gold |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lady Aurelia |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Hogy |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Stormy Liberal |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Disco Partner |
4.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Bucchero |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Cotai Glory (GB) |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Washington DC (IRE) |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Unique Bella |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Princess Karen |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Finley’sluckycharm |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Constellation |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Curlin’s Approval |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Finest City |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Proper Discretion |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Skye Diamonds |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bar of Gold |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Ami’s Mesa |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Carina Mia |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Highway Star |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Paulassilverlining |
8.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
By the Moon |
12.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Turf
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Avenge |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Lady Eli |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Kitten’s Roar |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Rhododendron (IRE) |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Goodyearforroses (IRE) |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Cambodia |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Zipessa |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Grand Jete (GB) |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Queen’s Trust (GB) |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Dacita (CHI) |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Birdie Gold |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
War Flag |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Nezwaah (GB) |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Responsibleforlove (IRE) |
20.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Senga |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Wuheida (GB) |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Twinspires Breeders’ Cup Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Imperial Hint |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Drefong |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ransom the Moon |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Whitmore |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
American Pastime |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mind Your Biscuits |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Calculator |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Takaful |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Roy H |
3.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
B Squared |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Mile
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Ribchester (IRE) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Blackjackcat |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
World Approval |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Suedois (FR) |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Midnight Storm |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Heart to Heart |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Roly Poly |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mr. Roary |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Ballagh Rocks |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Om |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Karar (GB) |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lancaster Bomber |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Zelzal (FR) |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Home of The Brave (IRE) |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Bolt d’Oro |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Solomini |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Free Drop Billy |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
U S Navy Flag |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Golden Dragon |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Hollywood Star |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Bahamian |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Good Magic |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Givemeaminit |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Firenze Fire |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
The Tabulator |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Hazit |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Ulysses (IRE) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Itsinthepost (FR) |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Beach Patrol |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Highland Reel (IRE) |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bullards Alley |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
14 |
13 |
Oscar Performance |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Fanciful Angel (IRE) |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Bigger Picture |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Hunt (IRE) |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
Sadler’s Joy |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Decorated Knight (GB) |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Talismanic (GB) |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Seventh Heaven (IRE) |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Cliffs of Moher (IRE) |
20.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Classic
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
West Coast |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Arrogate |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Collected |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mubtaahij (IRE) |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Churchill (IRE) |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Pavel |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
War Story |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Gun Runner |
1.80 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Gunnevera |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
War Decree |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Win the Space |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.