November 3, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Rare |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Adieu Gerald |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Closing Way |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
My Friend Tag |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hero’s Divide |
2.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Zarking |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Social Prize |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
D’wildsummersfun |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Pummy |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Error Code |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Brother Love |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Camp Sawyer |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Ethan’s Landing |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Sandana Heat |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Channelmagic |
2.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Nowyouseeme |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mickchievous |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Uncle Bird |
10.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Sharp Production |
30.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Royal Cajun |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Uncle Herbie |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mr Makeithappen |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Weidenbachers Gent |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
B B Diya |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Pierpont |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
D’amazing Amy |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Brush Whacker |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Slideruler |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Trim Down |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Couche Couche |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tough Thomas |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Cody Cody |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Salutetheprince |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mick |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
No Guts No Glory |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Runnin Sky |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Hewhofillsmyheart |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Orthodox River |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Blue Houdini |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Meiko Achufa |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Theboyzspark |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Artist by the Sea |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Royal Tree |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Shoesfromthegitgo |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Can’t Stop Kohen |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Rebel Gentleman |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Star Time |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Love That Brown |
4.50 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Slew’s Shot |
10.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
April’sblackmagic |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Zonly |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Tengey |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Eight Grand |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Half a Million |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Lovely Charlie |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Tiz the Wildcat |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Mac’s Honey |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Miss Demeanor |
5.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Wrap It Up |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Oxford Comma |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Kelley’s Dream |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ailish’s Buttercup |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Muskarella |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cash Broker |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sittin On Cotton |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Putsumdirtonit |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Twist Tail |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Copper Lady |
4.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Song and a Saint |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Mischievous Bull |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Knockit Off |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Made to Fit |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Classy Bird |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Outofthisgalaxy |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Zarb’s Gift |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Buggin Out |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Reflector |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
One Survivor |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fusaichi Charm |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Soulja Slim |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
1A |
6 |
Condominium |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Booth Road Ozzie |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Etbauer’s Ide |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
2 |
Classic Sopo |
2.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Black N Gold |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Alexander |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Honest Bond |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Grand Nelce |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Ide Be a Miracle |
6.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Cristals Candy |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Stout’cannon |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rhettever |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Red Nick Carl |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Chasing a Saint |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Dipper Pines |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mr Bin |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Respect Due |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Felonious Friend |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Fooling Jay |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Frazier Double |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Ride the Breeze |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.