November 3, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Secret Scholar | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bar None | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Son of Mine | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Expresso | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tottie Royer | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Burgh | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Grey | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | City of Dreams | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Roxy Girl | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scatback | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shezerfirst | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Buzz | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Parlapiano | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ferncourt | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Girlie’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paz the Bourbon | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Amazing Anne | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Table for Six | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild About Harry | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Mizz | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Joan | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Weather Girl | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Tempted S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Candy Dance | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Navajo | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Freedom | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oldfashioned Style | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daisy | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Last Cast | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Free N Clear | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kacy Lauren | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baronet | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rockin Alli | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eighth Commandment | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khaleesi Kat | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jcs American Dream | 0.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Ten Penny Princess | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sugar Mags | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Gio d’Oro | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Da King and I | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hokulea | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sea Foam | 1.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flash Drive | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anything Pazible | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zenato | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Claude’salleycat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ackeret | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Ifyousnoozeyoulose | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Play Big | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Jo | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Risk Management | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Papa Freud | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Fortuitous Path | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Zip | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Island Therapy | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saratoga Heater | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Silent One | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bear Clause | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Daddy D T | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Broken Engagement | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Enduring Honor | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Warm Springs | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Main Road | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Baratti | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liquid Aloha | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twenty Four Seven | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strike Midnight | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Any Questions | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Two Down One to Go | 2.50 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Cheyenne Bull | 3.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Manifest Destiny | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tiz a Chance | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 30.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alkasser (IRE) | 15.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rocky Policy | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eila | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Miss Grey | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Carolina Shag | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunnysammi | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Louisville First | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | First of Spring (IRE) | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spiga (IRE) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fire Key | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Viradia | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caoimhe | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Kelly Go | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Eyes | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lune Lake | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mojito Margarita | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance for Mon | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sabellina’s Sister | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.