November 1, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Rocket Heat |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Incensed |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mr Vargas |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Student Body Left |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Brandothebartender |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Green With Eddie |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Lindante |
0.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Kristo |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Tribal Jewel |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Pioneerof the West |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Out of Patience |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Cannes |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Gunslinger |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Beaumarchais |
4.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Muchos Besos |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Wild Lando |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Hardcore Troubador |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hollywood Square |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Insubordination |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Dream On Brother |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Unnamed Source |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Duke of Fallbrook |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Eighty and Sunny |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Handful of Stripes |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Excavation |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Special Story |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Rings of Jupiter |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
My Golden One |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Harrovian |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
I Crushed It |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Pick One |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Alpha Uno |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Bow and Arrow |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Be Mine |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Dominating Woman |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Ava Forty Seven |
0.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
La Premiere Etoile |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Girl Downstairs |
0.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
West Coast Bias |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mrs. Norris |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Ok Doll |
0.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Tweeting |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Utana |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Cash Prize |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Phantom Opening |
6.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sugary |
8.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Lynne’s Legacy |
0.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Pure Pursuit |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Emphatic |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Momma’s Baby Boy |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dodgertown |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sigur Ros |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Boogalute |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Steely Resolve |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lighthouse Point |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Let It Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Harbour Master (GB) |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Monydontspenitself |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Kitten’s Cat |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Holiday Stone |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Van Cortlandt |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Master Merion |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Dangerfield |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Curly’s Waterfront |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Dreamy Gal |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Red Stich |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Gotham Desire |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Jenna’s Faith |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Tee Em Eye |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
3 |
1 |
Meet and Greet |
3.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Haveiture Way |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Candy Ruler |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Pied N True |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Be a Lady |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Princess Kendra |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Kazan (IRE) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Channel Crossing |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Choo Choo |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Big Buzz |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Arch Anthem |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Formal Dude |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Dark Vader |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Martin Riggs |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Knight Disruptor |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sandbed |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.