October 29, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Tristan’s Trilogy |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hitters Park |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Kristi’s Copilot |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Arch Prince |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Allaboutmike |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Plate Side |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Dreams of Valor |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Caribou Club |
3.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Burning Brightly (IRE) |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Instilled Regard |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Xten |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Shane Zain |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Draft Pick |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Fleetwood |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Midnight Soot |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Canadian Game |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Midnight Swinger |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Reckless Charm |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Red Livy (IRE) |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Coalinga Hills |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Velvet Jones |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Carrie |
50.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Proud ‘n’ Ready |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Li’l Grazen |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Pirate Flag |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Royal Astronomer |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Plane Lucky |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ryderroo |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dissension |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tuscany Beauty |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Run Sophia Run |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dragon Flower |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Pica |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Texas Wedge |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Utah Ute |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Neighborhood Bully |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Handsome Swede |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Get Em Up Scout |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Warrior’s Lullaby |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Oh Man |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Oiseau de Guerre |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Towards the Light |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Little Juanito |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
New Dancer |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Williston Dude |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Schooley |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Tule Fog |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Starting Bloc |
6.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Pashito |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Artistic Ab |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Catfish Hunter |
8.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Chrisiscookin |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Hotsy Dotsy |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tiffany Diamond |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Lovely Linda |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Took the High Road |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Eye of the River |
50.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Curlina Curlina |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Princess Nicole |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Sonnet’s Joy |
50.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Let Me Flatter You |
12.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Dressed in Prada |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Grace Hopper |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Hope She Will |
6.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Cal Cal Li Gowchis |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Proudtobesicilian |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Liberation |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Cammy’s Music |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Black Tie ‘n Tails |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
True Ranger |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
One I’m Running To |
2.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Spirit World |
50.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mt. Leinster |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Yo La Tengo |
10.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Julia’s Summer |
50.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Smarty Moon |
30.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Autumn Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Meadowsweet |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Storm the Hill |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tapped |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Lull |
3.50 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kathy’s Song |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
Sandy’s Surprise |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Beautiful Becca |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Reverse |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Spin Me a Kiss |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Chocolate Coated |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Miss Southern Miss |
6.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
|
14 |
13 |
Almost Carla |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Domestic Vintage |
20.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Bernina Star |
30.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Stealth Drone |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Marley’s Freedom |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ruby Trust |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Discatsonthesquare |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Shezroxiie |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dr Liz |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Adios Cali |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Empress Rules |
50.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Meanie Irenie |
6.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bowie |
3.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Bella Style |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Carrie’s Success |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Super Patriot |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Fantastic Chloe |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
X S Gold |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Tribal Dance |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lucky Lula |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Dixie Lassie |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Funny Bean |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
An Eddie Surprise |
6.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Carpathia |
12.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Scr |
12 |
10 |
Lucky At the Bay |
6.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lucky Outcome |
15.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
Scr |
13 |
11 |
She’s a Gambler |
50.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.