October 29, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
She’s Thirsty |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Ask Me I Might |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Flint Hill |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Kitty Bank |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Notthatitmatters |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Fleur de Force |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Postino’s Secret |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Sarah’s Treasure |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1A |
1 |
Valiant Reason |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Perfectness |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Holiday Hopes |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9A |
8 |
Sunny Sonata |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Hot Friesia |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Great Craic |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Just So Story |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Another Chance |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Bourbon Commander |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Pachi Cruze |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
One Proud Wildcat |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Linkappleyard |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Catcher |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
C B Bodemester |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Mischievous Dan |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Valhalla |
3.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
One Step Closer |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Bob’s My Uncle |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Adult in the Room |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
12 |
7 |
Blue Whale |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
5 |
Estrella Grande |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dot Notation |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Friesing Waters |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
3 |
1 |
Avilles |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
4 |
War Tweet |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Izzy’s Mark |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
8 |
3 |
Magically Discreet |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Steamy Hot |
6.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
11 |
6 |
Kickin Kimberly |
4.50 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sipping Champagne |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Local Focus |
20.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Yes Means No |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Boyfriend Material |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Tattooed |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Free to Trump |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Pferd Soldat |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Threes Over Deuces |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Broad Surprise |
1.20 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Nitro Fuel |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Jovis |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Parade of Freedom |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Charismatic Blue |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Where’s Dominic |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Grand Old Game |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
The Great Provider |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Bluegrass Ball |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Metal Magic |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
4 |
Black Jet |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Springers Point |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
13 |
6 |
Final Forum |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Merry’s Honor |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Uno Emayo |
8.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
11 |
5 |
Cort’n Asong |
3.50 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Huracan |
50.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
14 |
7 |
Louie Lunchbox |
8.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
6 |
3 |
Sixbits |
15.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Spoiled by God |
30.00 |
14.8 |
28-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Forever |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Charming Emmy |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Vindictive Ways |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lucky Cover |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Scary Not Scared |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Tip Top Tap |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Peach of a Gal |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tapete Claire |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Janelle Dreams |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Gangbusters |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Beryl’s Flight |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
1 |
Undertherain |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Bella Vincenza |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Sweeter Surprise |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Shack Up |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Be Sure Lisa |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
4 |
La La Bamba |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
3 |
Spicy Girl Red |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Linda Nin |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Beaches N Bourbon |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Ten Penny Princess |
3.50 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Fed Up Fired Up |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
6 |
2 |
Follow the Petals |
2.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Fantastic Score |
12.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
10 |
5 |
Move Over Honey |
20.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Next Street |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Scarlett’s Ransom |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Da’blues Dancer |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Magic Cookie |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Goldies Tale |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Wazzala |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Mathildestrevenue |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Heaven’s Door |
4.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Chips Icluded |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.