October 28, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Goseecal | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cynthiana | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pistol Packin Rose | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zuzanna | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arch of Troy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gio’s Lady | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Moccasin | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | November Tale (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Desert Domination | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Kaos | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ridgefield Rocket | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doheny Beach | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lipster | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skagit River | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Run | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gryffindor | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vintage Hollywood | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cool Munnings | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lori’s Attitude | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ib Prospecting | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crayon | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prieta | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salten Sapity | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mag the Mighty | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amore Gattina | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cho Has Zip | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dramatic Victory | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kaydetre | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Saint Dermot | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willing to Travel | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sense of Glory | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jonny’s Choice | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Private Prospect | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tisdale | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ucanthankmelater | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Comma To The Top S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hoppertunity | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Freedom | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Avanti Bello | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Huerfano | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin Rules | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Lieutenant | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Game | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Painting Corners | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Allowances (IRE) | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | G Q Covergirl | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Allie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Proton | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lake Time | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joe’sgoldenholiday | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Kitty | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take A Deep Breath (GB) | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Adios Cali | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Zero Zee | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Treasure Hunter | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | What’s Inside | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rodeler | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joejoe’s Kingdom | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Haulin’ Freight | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Sleepy Prince | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Fullerton | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agressivebrawler | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Warrior | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | McKinzie | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arno’s Mane Man | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shivermetimbers | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midcourt | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paint Me Lucky | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Stylish | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Ox | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Calexman | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Orbit Rain | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Eagle | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Twilight Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sharp Samurai | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cowboy Culture | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Profiteer | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Score | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Just Howard | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Channel Maker | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Troublewithatee | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cistron | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Bowies Hero | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dangerfield | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Besides the Point | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La Galy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coronado Cool | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sassy Rose | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Todos Santos | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reinahermosa | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spinyatta | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’sluckythatway | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Seaquet | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dixie Crystal | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gosofar | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Papa | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Fandango | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Well Developed | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Wind | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Accreditation | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Tule Fog | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Chidamac | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dial Me In | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Matlock | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Air Force Cadet | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Save Ground | 4.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Admiral | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Reckless Gravity | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.