October 28, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Saturday’s Rein | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Nation | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Sophia Is an Angel | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Bun | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Grand Lassie | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | My Chesa Charm | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Spicy Dancer | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Scene of the Crime | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Go Danica | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Sudden Chill | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Rosetta Red | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Out of Juice | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Enchanted Evening | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Feisty Missy | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Wiggle Room | 6.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lear Avia | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cent Comm | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icelake | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Earned It | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of the Jungle | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocky Love | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Train | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Envision Success | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Argento | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tightly Bridled | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Blues | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | In Arrears | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Zapata | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | High Believing | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Skippin to Victory | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Loconotion | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piper Hill | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Silver Romeo | 2.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rodon | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pure Spring | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Princetonian | 5.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wild Poison | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | They Call Me Gus | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Dukin’ With Dale | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grande Shores | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mythos | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Sam Sparkle | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Classic Wildcat | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Demon Buster | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Banner Bill | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vision of Green | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Who Stole My Sock | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Chaparral | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Johnny U | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Eternal Bull | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tricky Lion | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Axtell | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Respighi | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bo Vuk | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Liam | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adversary | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runninginthevale | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Storm Net | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Markakis | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fightin Phil | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eyesfirst | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Sir Mischief | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Hasta Ahora | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4A | 4 | He’s Out of Queens | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tapitontheside | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Distinctive Ride | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Naught Spy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Storm | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taco Supream | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kaz Country | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quite Tempered | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Political Farce | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Gimmeonemore | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Alpha Slew | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Great Harbour Cay | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | M C Squared | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Tito | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bluegrass Ball | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | It’s a Plane | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Jordan | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’cajun Cat | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Royal | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blame Me | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love to Prospect | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Professor Palmer | 30.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Legend Keeper | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Special Selection | 30.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eclipticalsrosette | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Thinking | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Head for the Shore | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bloody Point | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hopefully | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sinai Inspired | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Special Event | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jah Grace | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Jack Straight | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Sparty | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loves Last Dash | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | D. K. Two Step | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Day of Reckoning | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paid Holiday | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forthegreatergood | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patriotic Quest | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zesty Zar | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Much Maligned | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Riteamontofmschief | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Pappillon | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just Warmin’ Up | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Northern Eclipse | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Elegant Supermodel (GER) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Most Beautiful (GB) | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monavista Crossing | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rockin Jojo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | No More Excuses | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Zensational Merry | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catching Fireflies | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Super | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sunnysammi | 1.80 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Bioterp | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Irish Defence | 6.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fields of Song (IRE) | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contributing | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | James River | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whata Guess | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stay On Point | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss My People | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Games | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz an American | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Look Within | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unclenedwhodrank | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aup Sunny | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Intern | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Smarty | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Break the Mold | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lieutenant Alex | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.