October 28, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sizzle Factor | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charity Stripe | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sugar | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Avisionofchocolate | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Axial Load | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing the Buck | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wind Cheater | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Googleado (ARG) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Straw Dog | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leroi’s Thrill | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Response | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Than Shirl | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ambidextrous Alex | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dingdingdingding | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Siva | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Surprise Prize | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pray for Kitten | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Volt | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Comedy Zone | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Par Play | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Our Bernattete | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Petty Gambit | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Crimson | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All the Lute | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nikias | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bapa’s Pride | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Need the Wall | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Merri Mesa | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gretouki | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kau | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | On the Clock | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Soldier Girl | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alteration | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kyniska | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mushaboom | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | True Loyalty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Heza Kitten | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Piocho | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mischievous Dancer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Novus | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Bandito | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Non Regrette | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Lute | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Art of the Dream | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Hurry Up Harry | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Solar Warming | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Riddling Reason | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Osceola Point | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Bullet Bandit | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tomahawk Kitten | 10.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Accent of Gold | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Gracer | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Boss | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Upstage | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wholehearted | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourgeois | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Proposal | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Collar | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Julie Darlin | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drinks On Broadway | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11A | 11 | Gorgeous Kitten | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Belomor | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Nileator | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Bingo Kitten | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Shut the Box | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Krewe Chief | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Zulu Alpha | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Megeve | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Cub | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Boomin Goose | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Jingle Me This | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shar Ran | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’mluckysgirl | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Bella Belle | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star Quest | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Waves of Blue | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fun | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Neuqua | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tarquinia | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Conquest Classic | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hagyard Fayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | The Player | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | McCraken | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neolithic | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honorable Duty | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malibu Pro | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giuseppe the Great | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fear the Cowboy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Precious Love | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Defrock | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Market Top | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Into Summer | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tamit (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Billboard | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Awesome Song | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Well Humored | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prudence | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Lovin Empire (JPN) | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Tiz All Biz | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Lola’s the One | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Lantiz | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Divining Change | 50.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Altered Mind | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Ellens Birthday | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.