October 28, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | True Power | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Florencio | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alys Appointment | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Cotton Up | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingston Ruler | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Level Temper | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Courtney’s Gift | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ty C | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pops Legacy | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Moon | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charlie Hoss | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gladyousawme | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Creed | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exigent | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mediamaker | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Want a Picture | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roaring Star Fire | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Argument | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Mon | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Conner Clark | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Crusier | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Perin the Pirate | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | River Bluff | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flashy Image | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Golden Argument | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shoe’s to Remember | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lookingforroses | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Creek | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lucas Henry G | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Double Down Bob | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Lavendator | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rainwalker | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Late Appointment | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tsunami Girl | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wild Lil Rebel | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | White Oak Swamp | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Purple Parrot | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Choose This Dance | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rallyonmarion | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sister’s Image | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Draw Ronnie | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mink Coat Mimi | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | General Tone | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gettin Even | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hamazingly Rich | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Da’ Big Newt | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jersey Town Cat | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bold Bulldog | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Four G’s | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bendyls Picq Me | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzdelight | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bees Creek Boy | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jaye’s Mr Bling | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Singing Aces | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Big Red Cat | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vicks First Pick | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sin Llorar | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Leroidesdanse | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Card Congress | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | G’s Big Red | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ciao for Now | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Clancy’s Pepper | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Storming by Yawl | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grand Hoga | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Super Chase | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Indygo Rocket | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Cats Beauty | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Avery Lynn | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | War Spirit | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Jove Jove Dive | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Cat Who Dat | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Hicks Honey | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mad Meg | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Deborah | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Ginger Tee | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Rina Good | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Selma T | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Frances | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Salute My Lady | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Labelhermyprayer | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gia Mama Mia | 1.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kiki Doo | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | C’Time | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | M. B.’s Kiss | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Stroll | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boogie What | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Masterly | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No One Greater | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tip Tap Tapizar | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Temprano | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Case’s Ticket | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Queeten | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Quality Production | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Set Hut | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | M B Puck | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hard Attack | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ten Silver Pins | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blue Houdini | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Landman | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Debriyn | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ella’s Actor | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blake’s Father | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Theboyzspark | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Sholtz | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Talking Jones | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classy Clown | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Terms | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.