October 25, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elkhorn Poet | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eternal Force | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strolling | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dry Martini | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Articulator | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tequilas Ranger | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | G Friday | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Tapitive | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eskimo Kisses | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cosmic Burst | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Absolute Love | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latest Version | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queenardini | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Actress On Board | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Querceta | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Firey Diamond | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jammin Gemi | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rose to Glory | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | What a Reward | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Red Seven | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Crack Your Whip | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Katie the Cutie | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cheray | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | General Macarthur | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Perfect | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Long Station | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vici | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chiltern Street | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aktabantay (GB) | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamondmaze | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Henry Eight | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Convincing | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Rockingham Mel | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Maximus Luck | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Analyzing | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Handsome Harve | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blue Mesa | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | B Dubya | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shadow Sphinx | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Double Deep | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Can Go | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Jersey Street | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Speedmeister | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brockton George | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Adulation | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eight Town | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irritator | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Waves of Blue | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Donwell | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fort Fortitude | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Strong Yen | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Attribute | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Faction Cat | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arawak | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mr Ashley | 50.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Gunny Roo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Mugrosito | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Machtree | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Recio | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bantu | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Artie’s Rumor | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The X | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sky Promise | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pont Du Gard | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reride | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stolen Pistol | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | King Valero | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Cutler | 50.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Teodoro | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Russell Cave | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer O Fiftyfour | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Science to Win | 50.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Encrypt | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fullback Foye | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Arch Madness | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Lee | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Missle Bomb | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ship Lock | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blitzkrieger | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Famille Trois | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.