October 22, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Chief Hosa | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Waldorf | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Awesome Heights | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Venture | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Fly to Mars | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Proudtobesicilian | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Goodbye | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Have Some Pride | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reverend Al | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Edwards Going Left | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Critical Way | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gonna Fly Now | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Sean | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aristocratic | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mesa Sky | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Anoakia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chatty | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steph Being Steph | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just a Smidge | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Spice | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artistic Diva | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kencumin (FR) | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ritzy A. P. | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allaboutmike | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buckys Pick | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Opera House (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swinging Star | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hootie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bacoli | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Hailey Rachele | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mikenjane | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In Heat | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Warm It Up | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lucky Hand | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Sierra | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Weather Market | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Biscotti Gal | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arrowsphere | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ciao Bella Rosa | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Apples | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ourroseofthenile | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alpha Pegasus | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Bid (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miz Tianjin | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Victoria Falls | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On a Toot | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Turf | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tough But Nice | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Los Borrachos | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Vision | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Best Two Minutes | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Logan’s Moon | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Taste | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Packin Heat | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Six Point Rack | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lovely Anzi | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Popular Kid | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accountability | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tribal Roar | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Lymebyrd | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Big Train | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Odin | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Spiritual Warrior | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Plain Wrap | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Highly Acclaimed | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hot Perfection | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Californium | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonial Power | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orejas | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inhibition | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spend It | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Supreme Giant | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empire Ruler | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taste’s Legend | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Close to Midnight | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Washington Road | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fall Harvest | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Humid | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Thunder | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.